CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Omega - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6886e246bc7d12312a8b119717c572279501a61ad17625db673ac8eb8e81332
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phantomof Phantom, Omega
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,170 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phantom | 50c | 1,268$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.5 | 8,133 | 50.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L | +169.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Omega | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 768 | 56.9%437 W · 331 L | +49.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Omega | 16c | 602.85$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.74 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd7…ebb7backed Phantom | 63c | 569.69$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.29 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Omega | 36c | 470.11$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Phantom | 68c | 305.86$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.76 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Phantom | 76c | 270.64$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.44 | 6,540 | 42.9%2,805 W · 3,735 L | -81.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Omega | 39c | 245.6$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Phantom | 61c | 128.17$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.43 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…5327backed Phantom | 57c | 60.88$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Omega | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Omega | 49c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Omega | 46c | 45.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Omega | 43c | 40.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 4,022 | 36.4%1,466 W · 2,556 L | -208.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed Omega | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Omega | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Phantom | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Omega - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group StagePhantom won
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Omega - Map 1 WinnerPhantom won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.