Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-14?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x706b6dfadd3ad6ba492ff6f2126758f088c3b60d1ec9f94f69fb87dec21e6eab

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 14, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $199,062
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $189,124

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,062 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x56fc…733ebacked No	75c	20,000$15,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,000	41	61%25 W · 16 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	66cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x827f…7f59backed Yes	26c	17,028$4,427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,427.16	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	+2.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes	24c	16,400$3,988 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,987.98	178	33.7%60 W · 118 L	+8.2wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No	77c	14,020$10,795 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,224.53	308	51.3%158 W · 150 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x458e…44a9backed Yes	0c	10,970$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.97	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes	8c	7,999$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$639.93	197	29.4%58 W · 139 L	-9.6wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-23%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes	23c	7,257$1,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,650.21	680	26.3%179 W · 501 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e7…52cabacked No	78c	4,690$3,658 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,031.74	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No	78c	4,456$3,476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980.11	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked No	75c	4,180$3,135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,045	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.13per pick	57cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked No	75c	4,000$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-4.5wins	-0.14per pick	62cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Yes	29c	3,914$1,124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,124.07	55	47.3%26 W · 29 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked No	79c	3,797$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$797.47	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+73.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes	23c	2,609$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	145	44.1%64 W · 81 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1baa…173dbacked Yes	1c	2,499$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.99	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes	22c	2,428$534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$534.23	796	50.8%404 W · 392 L	+28.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	25c	2,065$524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$524.44	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No	74c	2,000$1,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520	907	51.3%465 W · 442 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb28d…83e4backed Yes	25c	2,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes	26c	1,923$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	346	28.6%99 W · 247 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff7d…37e8backed Yes	17c	1,709$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.94	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.16per pick	32cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes	26c	1,666$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.03	144	56.3%81 W · 63 L	+13.5wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes	24c	1,500$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	607	28%170 W · 437 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked No	74c	1,500$1,110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$389.99	207	50.2%104 W · 103 L	-8.5wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Yes	27c	1,439$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.67	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-3.0wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-32%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x61a3…b1e5backed Yes	8c	1,330$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes	26c	1,317$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.42	90	42.2%38 W · 52 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes	9c	1,249$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.05	131	32.1%42 W · 89 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes	23c	1,200$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276	138	37%51 W · 87 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes	26c	1,154$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7418…3f31backed Yes	29c	1,105$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.56	49	59.2%29 W · 20 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes	10c	1,033$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.26	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Yes	25c	1,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e6…56a3backed Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No	77c	999.99$770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230	266	51.1%136 W · 130 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed Yes	5c	991.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	48	22.9%11 W · 37 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes	6c	951.56$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.02	271	41.7%113 W · 158 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Yes	23c	951.51$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked No	75c	932$699 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233	256	48%123 W · 133 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	15c	890$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.4	233	25.8%60 W · 173 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes	25c	792.07$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.02	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe6e2…bd11backed Yes	16c	686.74$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes	26c	600$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	110	47.3%52 W · 58 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes	26c	599.99$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.68	222	29.3%65 W · 157 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9055…12cebacked Yes	8c	562.5$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	40	30%12 W · 28 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Yes	9c	551$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.15	76	55.3%42 W · 34 L	+6.0wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xacba…9256backed Yes	28c	500$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x141f…9e9bbacked Yes	8c	487.5$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-55%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes	19c	480$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.4	1,224	40%490 W · 734 L	-24.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Yes	11c	454.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.98	55	38.2%21 W · 34 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes	23c	434.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	50	46%23 W · 27 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e03…ea8bbacked Yes	23c	434.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c08…c268backed Yes	5c	431.21$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes	7c	400.15$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.15	533	44.8%239 W · 294 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	23c	400$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	36	30.6%11 W · 25 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae59…c97fbacked No	76c	394.74$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.74	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.14per pick	41cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e04…1320backed Yes	26c	384.62$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x87d5…9790backed Yes	26c	384.62$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	103	45.6%47 W · 56 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x467a…5fdcbacked Yes	8c	375$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Yes	27c	370.37$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb227…7553backed Yes	29c	344.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	66	54.5%36 W · 30 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa47f…dfb1backed Yes	10c	343$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.3	53	35.8%19 W · 34 L	+4.9wins	+0.09per pick	27cpaid	+59.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes	23c	330$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.9	200	27%54 W · 146 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Yes	12c	323.67$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	76	30.3%23 W · 53 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20b2…f114backed Yes	22c	315$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.3	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-70%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26e3…0b75backed Yes	27c	300$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Yes	25c	300$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes	27c	277.78$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	246	30.5%75 W · 171 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Yes	21c	260.8$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.93	113	46%52 W · 61 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d4c…12b2backed Yes	20c	258.85$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.5	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes	11c	246.44$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.68	420	43.8%184 W · 236 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c23…3d09backed Yes	11c	245.45$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f8…5a8ebacked Yes	19c	238.46$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf11…3c9fbacked Yes	8c	235.47$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes	5c	229.7$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	110	19.1%21 W · 89 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6b…5263backed Yes	26c	227.99$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	28cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12cf…4eeebacked Yes	10c	223.7$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.37	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6763…15c5backed Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a39…031abacked Yes	23c	217.39$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x658f…79ffbacked Yes	23c	217.39$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c0…eb7abacked Yes	15c	212.41$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked No	72c	208.33$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.33	140	43.6%61 W · 79 L	-9.6wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked No	72c	208.33$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.33	148	44.6%66 W · 82 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes	27c	202.82$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.69	584	45.9%268 W · 316 L	-8.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0742…39a7backed Yes	26c	200$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes	29c	200$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	233	53.6%125 W · 108 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5c1…3152backed Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bfb…dcdcbacked Yes	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes	23c	173.91$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	58	22.4%13 W · 45 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	30cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8dd…ddbcbacked No	75c	173$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.25	46	60.9%28 W · 18 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	64cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd121…b0a5backed Yes	29c	172.41$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x223e…fc48backed Yes	24c	166.67$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-26%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa52d…faefbacked Yes	29c	162.07$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2922…0781backed Yes	16c	161.79$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.41	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Yes	26c	152.32$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.6	120	48.3%58 W · 62 L	+5.7wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0102…e4d2backed No	78c	151.28$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.28	26	76.9%20 W · 6 L	+2.5wins	+0.09per pick	67cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b22…5952backed Yes	10c	150$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6564…8846backed Yes	23c	149.57$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.4	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked No	71c	141.99$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.18	109	40.4%44 W · 65 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x577e…d0dcbacked Yes	26c	134.35$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.93	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-14?this page
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14?Yes won
Will Chelsea FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-14?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event