Premier League · resolved market
Brentford FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa62e797201711c78a78f7593d5d4e8fcb32ff5ccd1338fcad94aa9519e91fd63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd35…17debacked Over | 79c | 4,065$3,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.68 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 22c | 2,029$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.38 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 79c | 1,911$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.31 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 21c | 1,745$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.11 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over | 67c | 999.25$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.75 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -8.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 868.91$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.48 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 22c | 668.53$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.08 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 2c | 632.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5849…dcf1backed Under | 22c | 471.36$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.7 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 75c | 450$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Over | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 108 | 74.1%80 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 17c | 284.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Over | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Over | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 66c | 223.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.16 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Over | 77c | 208.5$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 73c | 121.3$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 78c | 117.76$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed Under | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a98…d17cbacked Over | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2908…789abacked Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf80…7783backed Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 71c | 99.34$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…b7e9backed Under | 22c | 90.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa41a…e905backed Over | 79c | 66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Over | 78c | 64.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 73c | 52.12$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 30c | 45.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 316 | 48.7%154 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e1…0f14backed Under | 23c | 45.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd591…8363backed Over | 78c | 38.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da3…73ebbacked Over | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…fbedbacked Over | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd641…0635backed Over | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 144 | 63.9%92 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…730ebacked Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05f1…1744backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…555dbacked Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…a821backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb5…9846backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fb…66b2backed Over | 79c | 22.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked Over | 68c | 20.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe038…7e6abacked Over | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabd…54fcbacked Over | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…2ccfbacked Over | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4b…8410backed Over | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd777…daf8backed Over | 79c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 72cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…a197backed Over | 78c | 13.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brentford FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Brentford FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Brentford FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Brentford FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brentford FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.