Premier League · resolved market
Brentford FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e6eab9e87dd5386d961fbe7759bdf5552614f4ecc781145d30f85fc5c762f6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90f6…71eebacked Over | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.97 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 30cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 17c | 1,967$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.69 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 18c | 1,944$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.77 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 1,705$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.16 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 30c | 1,006$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.19 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 19c | 653.5$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.17 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 69c | 506.87$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.13 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 51c | 383$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.33 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 68c | 256.02$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.93 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 18c | 215.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb7…618ebacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Over | 32c | 190$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 31c | 180$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over | 33c | 136.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Under | 68c | 110$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 33c | 77.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 70c | 71.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Over | 32c | 71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Under | 70c | 66.17$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 32c | 64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 32c | 62.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b4…01fdbacked Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked Under | 73c | 23.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 78c | 17.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brentford FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Brentford FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Brentford FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Brentford FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.