Music · resolved market
Will Drake's next album debut No.1 on Billboard 200?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x418c6dd1e5aae3d4efa2fd37fc4fd59b5fb0136a8af7f4583c21a3f95f0ae85c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 74c | 7,840$5,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.05 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96be…6c70backed Yes | 13c | 6,347$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 15c | 2,885$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.29 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0952…a44bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,437$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.7 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 11c | 1,454$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.06 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373d…46f5backed Yes | 30c | 857.78$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked No | 59c | 752.17$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.91 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…508cbacked Yes | 1c | 750.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49bb…aaf9backed No | 62c | 678.5$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…a155backed Yes | 33c | 674.34$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfafb…27eabacked Yes | 37c | 625.28$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.97 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3988…b522backed Yes | 40c | 587.58$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4d…9a07backed Yes | 21c | 556.16$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…bf74backed Yes | 35c | 492$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0f…af26backed No | 65c | 451$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0295…09d3backed Yes | 5c | 439.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fef…5840backed Yes | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Yes | 28c | 387.85$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 20c | 356.76$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.37 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 6c | 354.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd575…1963backed Yes | 10c | 352.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…c931backed Yes | 39c | 348.42$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.33 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked Yes | 26c | 347.21$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 31c | 335.71$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.08 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed No | 69c | 320$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c7…f199backed Yes | 28c | 315$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 32c | 307.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f68…21ecbacked Yes | 22c | 303$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…ad61backed Yes | 13c | 293$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…5339backed Yes | 29c | 290$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.1 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…1057backed Yes | 12c | 281.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a16…0c03backed Yes | 30c | 279$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.08 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed No | 69c | 277$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…ca8dbacked Yes | 35c | 270.11$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 21c | 260.07$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48bc…2ffdbacked Yes | 41c | 244.54$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…5d47backed Yes | 30c | 235.94$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f85…e5a3backed Yes | 31c | 229$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…b927backed Yes | 27c | 214.71$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…f991backed Yes | 19c | 212$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa973…dfffbacked Yes | 14c | 206.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed Yes | 10c | 205$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 37c | 202.53$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fae…6853backed No | 78c | 202$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7169…3f14backed Yes | 10c | 201.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8926…5aacbacked Yes | 40c | 194.7$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…1df4backed Yes | 30c | 189.87$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee87…ce91backed Yes | 16c | 184.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…7260backed Yes | 11c | 184$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 36c | 181.83$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.88 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 27c | 180$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 35c | 175$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 391 | 16.1%63 W · 328 L | -44.4wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8d54…8d9abacked No | 71c | 168.45$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 47c | 167.86$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.78 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…7c64backed Yes | 41c | 164$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…44adbacked Yes | 12c | 160$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +50%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…3490backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…8191backed Yes | 14c | 153$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…a320backed Yes | 11c | 151$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd719…d8e5backed Yes | 27c | 142$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…07f8backed Yes | 11c | 138.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc16c…7b1bbacked Yes | 15c | 136.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x385f…3c30backed No | 79c | 132$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 65c | 130.16$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…4651backed Yes | 9c | 128.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…f4d1backed Yes | 13c | 126$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a10…e442backed Yes | 10c | 121$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5243…a73cbacked Yes | 9c | 119$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ec…4477backed Yes | 25c | 114$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc2…40d7backed No | 77c | 112$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07c5…2dacbacked Yes | 34c | 110$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 31c | 109.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Yes | 44c | 109.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 20c | 102.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…8724backed Yes | 45c | 100.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…a488backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2356…70b2backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb400…5604backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes | 31c | 96.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e57…6c04backed Yes | 13c | 95.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…eadcbacked No | 65c | 95$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…84bebacked Yes | 13c | 94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee4e…aa5abacked No | 75c | 92$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ab…d0a0backed Yes | 22c | 91.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed No | 73c | 88$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 31c | 86.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 33c | 85.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca7…2fdcbacked Yes | 34c | 81.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd992…96c0backed No | 59c | 81.7$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe433…1700backed No | 71c | 79$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2e…fe02backed Yes | 34c | 78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde23…62e9backed Yes | 13c | 78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ba…e9adbacked Yes | 32c | 69.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…5c69backed Yes | 22c | 69.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…7b91backed Yes | 25c | 67.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x358d…7602backed Yes | 19c | 62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 75c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…b577backed Yes | 35c | 59.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…b0a5backed No | 65c | 59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.