AI · resolved market
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #2 searched person on Google this year?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1225703d9cb56d1aea95aa69851c7e3f815535e1759481ab10c9321b936e260e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $153,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $157,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a6f…d4aebacked No | 0c | 29,388$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb62…4f95backed No | 0c | 10,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dab…1bdfbacked No | 1c | 9,689$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed No | 2c | 5,714$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 13cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ea…15cdbacked Yes | 65c | 4,423$2,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.37 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 62cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 24c | 4,340$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,286.68 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 35c | 3,915$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | +13.1wins | +0.14per pick | 21cpaid | +167%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 2c | 3,809$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 13cpaid | +104%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 2c | 3,809$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.19per pick | 13cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…ee13backed Yes | 36c | 3,280$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 13c | 2,172$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.3 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…c54fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,765$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.33 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 9c | 1,421$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.08 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…ddb8backed No | 2c | 1,400$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6622…d7a9backed No | 76c | 1,173$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes | 16c | 1,134$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.68 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b88fbacked Yes | 19c | 962.68$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.68 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed Yes | 13c | 802.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.87 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59d5…a273backed Yes | 21c | 696.81$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.07 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +233.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 11c | 653.38$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.56 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 9c | 625.1$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Yes | 5c | 570.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +195.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 21c | 518.96$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.18 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 19c | 460$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.32 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…dfbebacked Yes | 17c | 443$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.87 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed No | 80c | 441.69$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74e4…c23fbacked No | 77c | 353.46$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.78 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed No | 79c | 300$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 20c | 294$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.09 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e7…89b4backed Yes | 16c | 277.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.18 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…b027backed Yes | 24c | 272.02$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.02 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 65c | 250$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.25 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc123…115cbacked No | 78c | 242$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked No | 79c | 200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Yes | 65c | 186.6$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.87 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…7b78backed Yes | 23c | 182.59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.83 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 11c | 174.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…7448backed Yes | 16c | 174$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.29 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747b…5919backed Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa234…f7ebbacked No | 78c | 166.45$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.43 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae8a…9f2abacked Yes | 14c | 159.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.9 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 35c | 154.05$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed No | 80c | 154$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.14 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdea5…d0edbacked Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc2…40d7backed Yes | 23c | 148$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 323 | 29.1%94 W · 229 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x962d…a253backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +367.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.6 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 894 | 17.1%153 W · 741 L | -145.2wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47eb…8195backed Yes | 16c | 95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…5adebacked Yes | 23c | 72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 73c | 49.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -23.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…d647backed No | 78c | 25.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdfae…630dbacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kendrick Lamar be the #2 searched person on Google this year?this page
- Will Andy Byron be the #2 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Bad Bunny be the #2 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the #2 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Bianca Censori be the #2 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Donald Trump be the #2 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Elon Musk be the #2 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Greta Thunberg be the #2 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Imane Khelif be the #2 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Jimmy Kimmel be the #2 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Joe Biden be the #2 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Justin Trudeau be the #2 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Kanye West / Ye be the #2 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will María Corina Machado be the #2 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Pope Leo XIV be the #2 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Taylor Swift be the #2 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Travis Kelce be the #2 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the #2 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani be the #2 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will d4vd be the #2 searched person on Google this year?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.