AI · resolved market
Will Jimmy Kimmel be the #2 searched person on Google this year?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaaadd8ffac53d22b6a6856fc0e84f1ccf6a8622acc7948922bdfe4a680a05213
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 5,608$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked Yes | 6c | 1,215$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.73 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 9c | 1,063$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.9 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…af79backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 7c | 499.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 301 | 27.2%82 W · 219 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb02e…25e5backed Yes | 7c | 402$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed Yes | 9c | 399.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 6c | 318.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9935…ff83backed Yes | 5c | 210.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jimmy Kimmel be the #2 searched person on Google this year?this page
- Will Andy Byron be the #2 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Bad Bunny be the #2 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the #2 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Bianca Censori be the #2 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Donald Trump be the #2 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Elon Musk be the #2 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Greta Thunberg be the #2 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Imane Khelif be the #2 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Joe Biden be the #2 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Justin Trudeau be the #2 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Kanye West / Ye be the #2 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Kendrick Lamar be the #2 searched person on Google this year?Yes won
- Will María Corina Machado be the #2 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Pope Leo XIV be the #2 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Taylor Swift be the #2 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Travis Kelce be the #2 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the #2 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani be the #2 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will d4vd be the #2 searched person on Google this year?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.