AI · resolved market
Will KPop Demon Hunters be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07892ead22f908124fe96349a77f63838ea433e44f9f7333c70af19db051debb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 5,400$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed No | 28c | 3,183$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,285.1 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 2c | 3,019$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.38 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | +13.1wins | +0.14per pick | 21cpaid | +167%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xad41…a108backed Yes | 65c | 2,500$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed Yes | 10c | 2,400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 13cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed No | 26c | 2,298$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.68 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked Yes | 66c | 2,053$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8733…ee86backed No | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.57per pick | 23cpaid | +269.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…c54fbacked No | 32c | 1,893$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.99 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Yes | 10c | 1,600$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 13cpaid | +104%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 10c | 1,455$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.45 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.19per pick | 13cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,406$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…325cbacked Yes | 79c | 1,280$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.62 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.7wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…7807backed Yes | 79c | 1,250$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.37 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1d…abd8backed Yes | 75c | 1,103$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb08f…2bd1backed Yes | 79c | 1,008$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +12.9wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 24c | 922.37$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.35 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8979…f003backed Yes | 72c | 863.38$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Yes | 54c | 808.36$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x816f…acbcbacked Yes | 77c | 761.9$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed No | 15c | 756.54$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.02 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 13c | 725.61$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.76 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4392…68c3backed Yes | 79c | 646.4$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.61 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…f8efbacked Yes | 78c | 643.14$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4a…25b2backed No | 16c | 639.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +119.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 57c | 593.86$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.18 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…4a12backed Yes | 48c | 563.59$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c0…fa75backed Yes | 78c | 544.85$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf39…3101backed Yes | 77c | 523.2$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf3…932dbacked Yes | 75c | 500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a3…2a32backed Yes | 73c | 500$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.81 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…7b78backed No | 12c | 420$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.6 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 24c | 419.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.38 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked Yes | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2263…4e26backed Yes | 58c | 347.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 17c | 336.28$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.44 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…2882backed Yes | 51c | 317.97$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.53 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -4.2wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2826…f448backed Yes | 73c | 275.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf302…e00abacked Yes | 75c | 267$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 33c | 250.74$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.01 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe016…dcc3backed Yes | 55c | 243.33$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.83 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 56c | 233.85$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.1 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 51c | 225.55$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.33 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…b434backed No | 27c | 220$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc2…40d7backed No | 50c | 211$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde10…1139backed Yes | 58c | 208.03$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 53cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 24c | 201.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.9 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes | 58c | 200$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.73 | 54 | 5.6%3 W · 51 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked No | 33c | 199.98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.99 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed Yes | 54c | 199.96$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.41 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 28c | 194.64$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.97 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…087fbacked No | 25c | 192.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.91 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd834…e011backed No | 24c | 186.07$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.69 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 56c | 173.7$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.63 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f3…e5c4backed Yes | 42c | 172.73$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 19c | 171.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.26 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…bab6backed Yes | 50c | 162$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked No | 11c | 154.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.73 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed Yes | 67c | 147.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.53 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…a498backed No | 14c | 147$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.42 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff5…1d92backed Yes | 65c | 144.72$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 45c | 144.43$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.56 | 893 | 17.1%153 W · 740 L | -144.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…162abacked No | 14c | 142$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.12 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…6718backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 23c | 135.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.66 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20f5…9495backed Yes | 75c | 134$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60f…70f0backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 77cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48f5…9dd3backed No | 13c | 132$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +95%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee01…f1ffbacked No | 53c | 132$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…f4d1backed Yes | 50c | 130$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…c913backed No | 50c | 127$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4579…9f19backed No | 17c | 119.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 13cpaid | +151.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 42c | 107.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…9c76backed No | 14c | 107$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.02 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28fb…9490backed Yes | 42c | 106.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +5.4wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc60…777fbacked Yes | 66c | 106.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ad…3581backed No | 15c | 104.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.75 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 34c | 101.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.81 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3c…e38bbacked Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x386e…3857backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…c417backed No | 13c | 99.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.98 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 50c | 99.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -7.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4168…8d0fbacked Yes | 68c | 99.74$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…a888backed Yes | 75c | 96.84$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.47 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfd…57bcbacked Yes | 75c | 90.78$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed Yes | 51c | 88.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1862…9f15backed Yes | 57c | 87.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0abd…869abacked Yes | 69c | 80$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4de…cb5cbacked No | 62c | 76.19$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa41f…b397backed Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -77%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6a5cbacked Yes | 49c | 59.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8af…37e5backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b7d4backed Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfa…1e46backed No | 34c | 47.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…feddbacked Yes | 53c | 37.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 80c | 32.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 42c | 32.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KPop Demon Hunters be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?this page
- Will A Minecraft Movie be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?No won
- Will Anora be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Yes won
- Will Demon Slayer: Infinity Castle be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?No won
- Will F1 be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?No won
- Will How to Train Your Dragon be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?No won
- Will Lilo & Stitch be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?No won
- Will Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?No won
- Will Ne Zha 2 be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?No won
- Will Sinners be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?No won
- Will Superman be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?No won
- Will Weapons be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.