AI · resolved market
Will A Minecraft Movie be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8ce3aabac825848d1e83d9e7933c8698abb69fbd54424989198df5f118051c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 7,600$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 200 | 3.5%7 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…ee1ebacked No | 68c | 6,740$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 17c | 6,632$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.93 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…4447backed Yes | 55c | 3,496$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922.62 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa53f…f455backed Yes | 50c | 3,448$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8979…f003backed No | 79c | 3,337$2,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.11 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 5c | 3,081$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.8 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…176dbacked Yes | 51c | 2,519$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +257.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf75…7018backed Yes | 27c | 2,113$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3c…b4ecbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc875…f8a7backed No | 78c | 1,883$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed Yes | 2c | 1,824$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908f…35a8backed Yes | 2c | 1,800$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c8…7ad8backed Yes | 63c | 1,671$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 10c | 1,620$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.8 | 75 | 10.7%8 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.94 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.19per pick | 13cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 58c | 1,153$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.68 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…7b78backed No | 46c | 1,151$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.43 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b7d4backed Yes | 55c | 1,027$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee01…f1ffbacked Yes | 23c | 1,000$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf3…932dbacked No | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked Yes | 56c | 886.85$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 4c | 843.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5791…2aa0backed Yes | 4c | 828.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 5c | 815.04$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 26c | 785.92$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.23 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…087fbacked Yes | 27c | 774.6$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked No | 52c | 654.58$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.02 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 620.69$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a29…46e7backed No | 75c | 597.34$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…6a23backed Yes | 2c | 570.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcb…6c8ebacked Yes | 18c | 570.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 39cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 44c | 563.05$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.99 | 190 | 11.6%22 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 19c | 502.34$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.21 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 14c | 499.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 3c | 499.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 70c | 499.98$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…2cc3backed No | 41c | 426.81$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b5…f72cbacked Yes | 61c | 409.37$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…2882backed Yes | 61c | 392.69$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.54 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -4.2wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…76e5backed Yes | 39c | 387.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd19…ea3abacked Yes | 63c | 383.11$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f85…8693backed Yes | 3c | 378$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7c…8356backed No | 42c | 360$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.57 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe915…4a53backed Yes | 58c | 346.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 73c | 342.78$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.96 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed No | 44c | 324.76$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.37 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 26c | 322.86$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.25 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 44c | 317.28$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.19 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed Yes | 64c | 311.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 38cpaid | -81%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 54c | 305.79$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.59 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 28c | 305.64$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.69 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 23c | 305.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…d02cbacked No | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…305bbacked Yes | 6c | 294$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…325cbacked Yes | 53c | 283.81$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.41 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.7wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb523…7138backed Yes | 53c | 250$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…32a0backed Yes | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 27cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Yes | 29c | 247.77$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…76babacked No | 51c | 247.06$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…9c85backed Yes | 59c | 239.81$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.49 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 75c | 227.25$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.01 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…c54fbacked Yes | 24c | 211.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed No | 60c | 199.99$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.31 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23d0…d98bbacked Yes | 7c | 198.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…6adcbacked Yes | 56c | 190.94$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.63 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 41c | 180$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce03…5608backed Yes | 49c | 164.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9393…513bbacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked No | 51c | 151.37$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.17 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…d95cbacked No | 56c | 149.23$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.35 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…4a12backed No | 46c | 145.61$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed60…5ec3backed Yes | 39c | 145.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 57c | 123.17$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.15 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed Yes | 61c | 117.56$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.89 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcc…8cc1backed Yes | 51c | 115.87$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0b…b210backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb900…a571backed Yes | 51c | 112.83$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa5…c8a1backed Yes | 41c | 108.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f3…a2e5backed Yes | 47c | 106.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc499…f793backed Yes | 54c | 103$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.62 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.29per pick | 47cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8db1…379fbacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 47c | 100.35$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.62 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e757backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1544…6f27backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa2…c75fbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5e…3873backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…9794backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 19c | 98.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 893 | 17.1%153 W · 740 L | -144.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7d05…c29cbacked Yes | 43c | 93.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…7a26backed No | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f3…e5c4backed No | 46c | 86.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…c706backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…fa80backed Yes | 39c | 76.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3c…204ebacked Yes | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c39…3cc7backed Yes | 61c | 67.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will A Minecraft Movie be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?this page
- Will Anora be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Yes won
- Will Demon Slayer: Infinity Castle be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?No won
- Will F1 be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?No won
- Will How to Train Your Dragon be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?No won
- Will KPop Demon Hunters be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?No won
- Will Lilo & Stitch be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?No won
- Will Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?No won
- Will Ne Zha 2 be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?No won
- Will Sinners be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?No won
- Will Superman be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?No won
- Will Weapons be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.