TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0ec7…7a26

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST1625%4 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Mavericksbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Pacers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Bucks vs. Cavaliersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Hornets vs. Wizardsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+121%+$24.88
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Pacers vs. Grizzliesbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Hornets vs. 76ersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.03
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+235.6%+$236.71
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.84
Pelicans vs. Grizzliesbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Pistons vs. Bullsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick35cpaid-71.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Rangers vs. Flamesbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Penguins vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Flamesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$15.58
Kings vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Panthers vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Canucks vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Lightning vs. Red Wingsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Golden Knights vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+110.1%+$110.15
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-73.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-59.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+63.4%+$12.68
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 5–10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+212.6%+$34.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% or less in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?backed Avatar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.