NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2704f232d61303d17e7d4b4d9c23b7058a9132971779b5437c3965ff78e5bbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Pistons, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,338,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,527,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,338,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 327 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7606…2836backed Bulls | 59c | 176,694$103,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,835.86 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Pistons | 30c | 90,000$26,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,899.99 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Bulls | 42c | 65,555$27,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,021.89 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Pistons | 41c | 64,138$26,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,112.38 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Pistons | 47c | 54,528$25,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,623.45 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Pistons | 19c | 53,897$10,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,448.42 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Bulls | 38c | 52,432$20,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,346.16 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bulls | 42c | 48,469$20,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,182.72 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Pistons | 59c | 46,820$27,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,678.05 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Pistons | 58c | 40,000$23,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,200 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Pistons | 57c | 31,165$17,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,875.7 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Bulls | 39c | 29,807$11,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,182.53 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Pistons | 62c | 25,000$15,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,550 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43c…04e8backed Pistons | 59c | 24,008$14,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,164.43 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Pistons | 40c | 23,575$9,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,474.76 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pistons | 25c | 23,450$5,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,909.97 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Bulls | 39c | 21,673$8,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,222.5 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Pistons | 61c | 20,000$12,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,200 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Bulls | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,800 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bulls | 68c | 17,304$11,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,501.58 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Pistons | 59c | 15,185$8,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,896.96 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bulls | 75c | 15,067$11,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,736.88 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Bulls | 43c | 13,360$5,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,615.47 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Bulls | 42c | 13,290$5,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,719.87 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Pistons | 33c | 12,514$4,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,069.11 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pistons | 58c | 11,766$6,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,870.62 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Bulls | 56c | 10,747$6,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,688.69 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Pistons | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked Bulls | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,899.95 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Bulls | 41c | 9,996$4,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,897.62 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Pistons | 13c | 7,692$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Bulls | 41c | 6,000$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,540 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Bulls | 41c | 5,824$2,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,409.9 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Bulls | 56c | 5,490$3,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,394.46 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bulls | 67c | 5,437$3,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.49 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…bc70backed Pistons | 20c | 4,563$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.58 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Bulls | 42c | 4,518$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625.05 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Pistons | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Pistons | 59c | 3,999$2,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.41 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Bulls | 50c | 3,952$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.52 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pistons | 24c | 3,795$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.92 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Bulls | 77c | 3,551$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.28 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c0backed Pistons | 59c | 3,397$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.45 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Bulls | 42c | 3,180$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.28 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe4…5c4fbacked Bulls | 38c | 3,132$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Pistons | 61c | 2,952$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd6…19e8backed Pistons | 42c | 2,657$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.4 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…3801backed Pistons | 42c | 2,627$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pistons | 1c | 2,614$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Pistons | 59c | 2,540$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.7 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Bulls | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Pistons | 18c | 2,481$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.91 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Pistons | 44c | 2,366$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.51 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bulls | 77c | 2,276$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.45 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Pistons | 59c | 2,250$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.5 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Bulls | 38c | 2,181$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.79 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Pistons | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…2037backed Pistons | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Bulls | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c1…54b0backed Pistons | 14c | 1,833$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.94 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Bulls | 79c | 1,803$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.21 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Bulls | 42c | 1,730$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.4 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x618d…aadcbacked Bulls | 42c | 1,700$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…2c46backed Pistons | 62c | 1,700$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Pistons | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Pistons | 13c | 1,650$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bulls | 41c | 1,599$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.6 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Pistons | 61c | 1,572$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.78 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…f478backed Bulls | 66c | 1,516$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Pistons | 40c | 1,508$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.48 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a00…6e75backed Pistons | 63c | 1,501$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…0d7ebacked Bulls | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Pistons | 17c | 1,472$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Pistons | 13c | 1,300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.97 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Pistons | 62c | 1,206$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…26b6backed Pistons | 58c | 1,202$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb644…d6e1backed Pistons | 16c | 1,200$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pistons | 59c | 1,150$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.59 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Pistons | 61c | 1,139$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.34 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…2032backed Bulls | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.16 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bulls | 80c | 1,097$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.36 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730d…6cfabacked Bulls | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Pistons | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…fae0backed Pistons | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…9c77backed Pistons | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…e7aabacked Pistons | 21c | 999.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Bulls | 38c | 967.5$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.85 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Pistons | 31c | 960.69$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Pistons | 3c | 850$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…2807backed Pistons | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Pistons | 5c | 768.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Bulls | 42c | 750.43$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.25 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -13.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Pistons | 1c | 732$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Pistons | 20c | 727.09$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.38 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Pistons | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 306 | 19.9%61 W · 245 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Pistons | 59c | 667.96$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.1 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Bulls | 66c | 667$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.75 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Pistons | 59c | 661$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.99 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked Pistons | 59c | 654$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.86 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a976backed Bulls | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Bullsthis page
- Pistons vs. Bulls: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.