TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Rangers vs. Flames

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Flamesof Rangers, Flames
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$299,134
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$300,609

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,134 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x821d…0a01backed Rangers53c59,782$31,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,910.2621652.3%113 W · 103 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Flames47c40,000$18,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,20013553.3%72 W · 63 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6253…20a6backed Rangers53c40,000$21,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,199.954447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b3d…7422backed Rangers54c35,076$19,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,048.8914057.9%81 W · 59 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc29a…7816backed Rangers54c25,400$13,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,7168240.2%33 W · 49 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Flames46c20,000$9,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,799.7410050%50 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Rangers0c19,259$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2618520.5%38 W · 147 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Flames56c16,172$9,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,121.9530944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Flames46c16,155$7,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,715.9641246.4%191 W · 221 L-24.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Rangers36c14,074$5,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,048.8926344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73f1…95e2backed Rangers42c13,300$5,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,58640%0 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x934e…ec2bbacked Flames58c13,300$7,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,5864100%4 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+186.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Rangers54c13,217$7,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,088.941,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Flames47c13,205$6,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,047.9615646.2%72 W · 84 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Flames46c12,099$5,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,533.4792848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Rangers54c10,456$5,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,646.341,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Flames47c9,494$4,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,057.6157453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Flames46c8,994$4,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,876.7470547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Flames46c8,500$3,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,589.981,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Flames46c8,088$3,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,367.5240550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Flames46c7,515$3,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,053.1930848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Flames46c7,351$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,951.4652050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Rangers54c7,300$3,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,977.9819451.5%100 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Flames46c5,372$2,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,900.8832251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a3…c3a6backed Flames47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6505950.8%30 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Flames47c4,913$2,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,620.5137847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Flames46c3,500$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,89030447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Flames45c2,961$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,628.6169550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Flames46c2,772$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.741,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Flames45c2,717$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,494.4238844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Flames62c2,377$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.637149.3%35 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Flames46c2,322$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.2963249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa365…ee73backed Flames46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0802240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Rangers54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08030552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Flames46c1,600$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86416743.1%72 W · 95 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Flames64c1,581$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.7130946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Rangers49c1,560$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76458841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Rangers35c1,525$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.2595049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Flames47c1,508$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.531,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Flames47c1,502$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.3264242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Flames47c1,219$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.842,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Rangers2c1,186$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.862114.3%3 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick8cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ec9…2c29backed Flames45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.11728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Flames63c1,104$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4031,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Rangers54c1,102$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.3868449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe166…4f71backed Rangers46c1,088$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Flames44c1,078$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.7488151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Flames48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.6775251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Rangers54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5403354.5%18 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Rangers54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54054349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Rangers37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3705549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Rangers55c899.99$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.9935349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rangers36c890.59$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.593,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Flames61c886$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.371,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers36c873.41$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.431,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Flames63c794.81$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.8589636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Flames46c789$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.061,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Rangers54c773.5$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.9562249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Flames46c761$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.9472847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ec…af87backed Flames45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.67580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+58.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc24…df47backed Rangers56c666$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.96825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-53.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaef9…72b5backed Flames45c650$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+119.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3688…a4debacked Rangers56c650$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Flames47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.323047.4%109 W · 121 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Flames64c630.49$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.011,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Rangers54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014148.9%69 W · 72 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6775…17efbacked Rangers54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x941d…70a3backed Flames45c520$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2863100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+116%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa4f…5983backed Rangers56c520$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1208…1feabacked Rangers54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2704045%18 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd339…d3a1backed Flames43c491.54$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.183946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc17…f399backed Flames47c491.49$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.49450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5c1…35abbacked Rangers54c491.48$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd30…db62backed Rangers56c486.68$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.54944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd79b…a626backed Flames45c486.67$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.67757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0774…99febacked Rangers55c454.55$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cc4…752fbacked Rangers54c405.56$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75ba…ad79backed Flames47c405.55$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.94771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+50.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Flames47c403$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.597245.8%33 W · 39 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d4…ad20backed Rangers54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003534.3%12 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Flames46c359.87$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.338536.5%31 W · 54 L-11.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd02a…c712backed Flames61c351.87$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.2338744.2%171 W · 216 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Flames46c347.83$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.833850%19 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Flames47c341.33$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.938046.6%177 W · 203 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Rangers39c335.82$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13020345.3%92 W · 111 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa518…747cbacked Flames65c310$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Flames45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16575946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x383e…ab30backed Rangers14c285.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401127.3%3 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6777…2612backed Rangers54c279.52$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Rangers39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029319.8%58 W · 235 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Rangers55c250$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.574951.8%388 W · 361 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Rangers55c250$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.518750.3%94 W · 93 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0111…0463backed Rangers13c237.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023140.3%93 W · 138 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb52d…95ffbacked Flames45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.225141.2%21 W · 30 L-7.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Flames45c220.98$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.1323545.1%106 W · 129 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Flames61c214.28$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8333848.8%165 W · 173 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a2a…1187backed Flames47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.77250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Flames45c210$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.576450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x282d…25d8backed Flames64c202.77$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Flames46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081,22046.1%562 W · 658 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.