World Politics · resolved market
Will the Green Party win 1 seat in the next Canadian Election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6897745b7405a73c97157b153709ab123c2f131ef8f0b68678353b00a6a46d35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $212,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $212,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16ff…b518backed No | 58c | 33,423$19,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,385.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e26…32a8backed Yes | 42c | 33,423$14,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,385.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b9…cbacbacked Yes | 44c | 33,188$14,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,585.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f4…b0bfbacked No | 56c | 33,188$18,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,585.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b99ebacked No | 58c | 22,413$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,999.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x179b…4398backed Yes | 42c | 22,413$9,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,999.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 35c | 1,617$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.66 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…2c6bbacked Yes | 29c | 1,198$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.62 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 37c | 1,045$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.6 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked Yes | 49c | 977.99$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.29 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9e…3723backed Yes | 52c | 934.42$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.42 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 47c | 904$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.77 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…df9bbacked Yes | 41c | 855$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.1 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5d…ccb7backed Yes | 55c | 795$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 2c | 750$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 44c | 745.16$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.01 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0d…3d14backed Yes | 49c | 495$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Yes | 49c | 449.89$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.48 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 15c | 439.47$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.92 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed1…cc85backed Yes | 34c | 437.32$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.32 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e98…0009backed No | 45c | 355$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81c3…84b0backed No | 45c | 355$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 49c | 338.56$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.44 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…3257backed No | 45c | 310$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f6…c209backed No | 45c | 310$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 56c | 299.75$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.62 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 9c | 297.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c05…d72fbacked No | 54c | 285$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 27c | 280$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.7 | 120 | 40%48 W · 72 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d62…f8eabacked Yes | 55c | 255$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9230…22a2backed Yes | 55c | 255$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked No | 65c | 250$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.68 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…e333backed Yes | 52c | 237.83$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.02 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 42c | 236$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.72 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 59c | 232.12$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.36 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…a6d3backed No | 45c | 230$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dd…6a6fbacked No | 45c | 230$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…2ff5backed Yes | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f6…317cbacked No | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c1…e39cbacked No | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 37c | 216.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.22 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1021…2e13backed No | 45c | 215$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68b0…d1a5backed Yes | 46c | 215$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceca…3a75backed No | 45c | 215$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed No | 54c | 210$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.3 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae2f…6c82backed Yes | 46c | 210$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 53c | 209.21$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.84 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b5…b082backed Yes | 46c | 205$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 56c | 203.7$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.39 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 48c | 195.92$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.54 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…a5b0backed No | 54c | 190$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +47%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…0848backed No | 53c | 185.6$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.06 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab99…b3afbacked No | 54c | 175$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c79…7d41backed Yes | 55c | 175$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65e9…177cbacked Yes | 55c | 175$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc013…554bbacked Yes | 55c | 175$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd3…cc49backed Yes | 55c | 175$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…5e5ebacked Yes | 54c | 170$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3998…5fdcbacked No | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed No | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 39c | 137.33$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.77 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 49c | 137$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.26 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 57c | 136.18$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Yes | 74c | 135.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0e…47c8backed No | 54c | 135$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x159a…bc5ebacked No | 52c | 135$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 50c | 121.73$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Yes | 45c | 112.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…c197backed Yes | 31c | 107.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 39c | 100.28$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.17 | 81 | 23.5%19 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf03…28dbbacked No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77e…bb3dbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2c…193abacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda23…080ebacked Yes | 61c | 98.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…6ed0backed No | 68c | 89$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.73 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 43c | 88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 35c | 86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c9…3dcabacked Yes | 44c | 84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994f…d982backed Yes | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 43c | 73.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae2…428fbacked No | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked No | 53c | 66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed No | 52c | 65.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x140a…5b52backed No | 52c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f20…438cbacked No | 54c | 65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e0…61dbbacked Yes | 51c | 61.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes | 43c | 58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed No | 56c | 55.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50c2…6d37backed No | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac5c…b933backed No | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba8…61b7backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ec…2d07backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…5c0cbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +182%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…3dabbacked No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed No | 74c | 44.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 49c | 43.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 53c | 37.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Green Party win 1 seat in the next Canadian Election?this page
- Will the Green Party win 0 seats in the next Canadian Election?No won
- Will the Green Party win 2 seats in the next Canadian Election?No won
- Will the Green Party win 3 seats in the next Canadian Election?No won
- Will the Green Party win 4 seats in the next Canadian Election?No won
- Will the Green Party win 5 or more seats in the next Canadian Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.