Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55d7e83669be3304ce171ec54b3409dc0f13137813843fdd1de6af9919ccb397

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Oct 20, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $195,386
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $116,475

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,386 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	5c	9,576$507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$506.86	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	13c	6,534$846 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$845.77	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cde…b42abacked Yes	4c	6,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	85	8.2%7 W · 78 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	8c	5,137$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$419.76	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	15c	4,524$659 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$658.82	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0e1…d6f0backed Yes	19c	4,144$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.76	239	14.2%34 W · 205 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	6c	4,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x599d…6521backed Yes	25c	3,944$1,005 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,004.5	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes	13c	2,651$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.07	115	9.6%11 W · 104 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1804…1810backed Yes	16c	2,515$404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$404.21	79	21.5%17 W · 62 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	2c	2,105$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.67	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	8c	2,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	21c	1,949$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410.09	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b3…88edbacked Yes	8c	1,870$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.34	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebf6…a960backed Yes	19c	1,815$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342	112	20.5%23 W · 89 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe451…7920backed Yes	8c	1,801$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	130	11.5%15 W · 115 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x474c…37d3backed Yes	17c	1,737$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298	410	17.8%73 W · 337 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	14c	1,717$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.79	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x778c…f3afbacked Yes	14c	1,583$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.83	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	9c	1,515$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.35	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefda…8dfbbacked Yes	5c	1,500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	171	5.3%9 W · 162 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	10c	1,436$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.83	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	25c	1,235$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.65	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	17c	1,126$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5c0…a09dbacked Yes	9c	1,114$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.44	138	18.8%26 W · 112 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	8c	1,008$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.65	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8667…8e0bbacked Yes	16c	1,000$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc17a…1db3backed Yes	10c	987.4$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9faa…bbedbacked No	79c	907.41$716 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.22	175	16.6%29 W · 146 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-16%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c19…b2f5backed Yes	17c	867.13$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.25	124	16.1%20 W · 104 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9994…03ddbacked Yes	7c	838.09$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	112	4.5%5 W · 107 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb7ba…2589backed Yes	11c	756.67$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	25	8%2 W · 23 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e55…e157backed Yes	17c	750.81$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.5	75	24%18 W · 57 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	4c	720.57$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.41	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	19c	700$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5c2…1750backed Yes	15c	666.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	209	7.7%16 W · 193 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-17%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x74c8…e1aabacked Yes	15c	655.12$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e2…2953backed No	80c	628.87$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.87	221	19.9%44 W · 177 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bb1…f1e1backed Yes	16c	625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	39	12.8%5 W · 34 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe11e…ff89backed Yes	5c	596.42$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.82	46	10.9%5 W · 41 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91ac…215dbacked No	74c	524.71$388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.19	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes	15c	520$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.89	439	33%145 W · 294 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08f0…4ca4backed Yes	27c	499.98$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd081…0cfabacked Yes	16c	496.78$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.14	281	13.5%38 W · 243 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aae…d563backed No	76c	495.3$376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.87	67	47.8%32 W · 35 L	+4.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+49.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb61…bd7fbacked Yes	6c	491.57$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.49	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…384fbacked Yes	11c	462.82$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	421	10%42 W · 379 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5947…8bdabacked Yes	13c	450.8$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	30	13.3%4 W · 26 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4971…41f3backed Yes	23c	429.8$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4ef…682fbacked Yes	18c	419.83$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.02	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0850…74c5backed Yes	16c	400.18$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.27	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x824c…6874backed Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	43	9.3%4 W · 39 L	-3.9wins	-0.09per pick	18cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x58fc…18a6backed Yes	14c	390.61$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.2	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	17cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20f3…0ce0backed Yes	26c	384.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa9d4…c8f5backed Yes	14c	375.1$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.64	50	14%7 W · 43 L	-3.4wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6305…9d0bbacked Yes	27c	367.9$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4acd…b7a8backed Yes	28c	353.3$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	58	13.8%8 W · 50 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	16c	346$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.26	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1648…3bddbacked Yes	30c	338.2$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4165…17abbacked Yes	23c	309.49$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x219a…ecaabacked Yes	15c	304.88$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	26cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Yes	15c	300$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+95.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e00…ea54backed Yes	15c	300$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b0d…c1babacked Yes	21c	299.01$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.83	246	18.7%46 W · 200 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a20…6b14backed Yes	26c	291.72$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-18%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa881…8b3ebacked Yes	18c	287.46$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.95	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc55…6f77backed Yes	23c	270$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.1	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x471e…b99abacked Yes	7c	269.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.1	48	18.8%9 W · 39 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0104…530ebacked Yes	6c	268.88$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62d8…afccbacked Yes	25c	263.01$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.62	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	28cpaid	-80.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf89d…63a2backed Yes	17c	260$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.5	40	22.5%9 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dce…b2acbacked Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	164	17.1%28 W · 136 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2dc…3f6abacked Yes	13c	236.11$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ee…b703backed Yes	28c	222.75$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d4…621abacked Yes	11c	221.33$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.2	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	+53.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x248e…7b12backed Yes	21c	220.41$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.63	207	17.4%36 W · 171 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7beb…f013backed Yes	30c	219.74$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23b4…80efbacked Yes	23c	218$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.76	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ef4…8506backed Yes	28c	211.97$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	10c	211.25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.46	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…806cbacked Yes	6c	207.46$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.91	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f9…705ebacked Yes	17c	205.88$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	21cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1de…85d9backed Yes	23c	200.4$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.9	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc71b…e265backed Yes	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	74	45.9%34 W · 40 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8196…f495backed Yes	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-32%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x841f…8c4bbacked Yes	25c	200$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.5	10	20%2 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	+34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf469…7aa9backed Yes	6c	200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-52%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4969…6d77backed Yes	15c	199.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+2.2wins	+0.22per pick	18cpaid	+162.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeeef…d4fbbacked Yes	24c	193.52$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.3	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-2.5wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x79e0…cd79backed Yes	23c	190$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.7	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26db…7abcbacked Yes	26c	189.97$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	61	19.7%12 W · 49 L	-6.8wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f74…5c44backed Yes	21c	183.16$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb885…4b0dbacked Yes	12c	180$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	44	18.2%8 W · 36 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7b0…a2e5backed Yes	11c	168.9$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes	7c	164.76$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	92	29.3%27 W · 65 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0f6…e965backed Yes	30c	164.47$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	32	12.5%4 W · 28 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-28%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x701c…4615backed Yes	14c	155.15$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.36	64	17.2%11 W · 53 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d47…d9bfbacked Yes	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x215d…ba6dbacked Yes	13c	153.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	9c	150.57$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.85	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event