Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf510a1fb96a5abf23d12151c03aa17af3c7166d783f48e05c96ef37bd7ef117

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Oct 20, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $504,820
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $388,037

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $504,820 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	1c	43,966$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.86	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	1c	22,364$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.46	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	5c	12,552$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$659.88	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	5c	10,158$517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$517.24	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	0c	9,446$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.97	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	0c	6,564$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.98	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	17c	4,796$795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$795.38	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0e1…d6f0backed Yes	18c	4,254$752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$751.69	239	14.2%34 W · 205 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6bd…b05abacked Yes	17c	3,916$661 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660.75	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	25cpaid	-83.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dce…b2acbacked Yes	6c	3,571$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.53	164	17.1%28 W · 136 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19b3…88edbacked Yes	24c	3,054$746 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$745.66	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	22c	2,780$610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$610.34	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	25c	2,552$637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$636.79	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	2,459$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.5	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	29c	2,346$681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680.9	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes	11c	1,748$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.02	115	9.6%11 W · 104 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ba…2589backed Yes	6c	1,455$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	25	8%2 W · 23 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e22…3061backed Yes	1c	1,425$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.49	29	0%0 W · 29 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebf6…a960backed Yes	17c	1,405$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241	112	20.5%23 W · 89 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x801c…a025backed Yes	25c	1,178$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.7	52	11.5%6 W · 46 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9994…03ddbacked Yes	1c	1,151$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	112	4.5%5 W · 107 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xefda…8dfbbacked Yes	7c	1,038$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	171	5.3%9 W · 162 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8667…8e0bbacked Yes	15c	999.99$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x304d…07f1backed Yes	5c	999.99$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe11e…ff89backed Yes	26c	948.32$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.91	46	10.9%5 W · 41 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9faa…bbedbacked No	78c	921.38$718 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.18	175	16.6%29 W · 146 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-16%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8981…ce82backed No	80c	884.61$705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.75	181	63%114 W · 67 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5c0…a09dbacked Yes	22c	817.17$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.72	138	18.8%26 W · 112 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20f3…0ce0backed Yes	13c	800.62$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8e55…e157backed Yes	25c	749.64$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.79	75	24%18 W · 57 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	5c	696$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.57	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5c2…1750backed Yes	15c	682.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	209	7.7%16 W · 193 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-17%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3701…ce16backed No	78c	678.85$528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.54	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	60cpaid	-57.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91ac…215dbacked No	75c	628.58$474 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.37	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b0d…c1babacked Yes	23c	621.53$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.92	246	18.7%46 W · 200 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed Yes	20c	608$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.45	340	17.1%58 W · 282 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe451…7920backed Yes	5c	582.69$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.91	130	11.5%15 W · 115 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1bb1…f1e1backed Yes	18c	558.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	39	12.8%5 W · 34 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf89d…63a2backed Yes	21c	519.71$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.12	40	22.5%9 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0104…530ebacked Yes	29c	515.49$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.95	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x474c…37d3backed Yes	24c	504.03$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.55	410	17.8%73 W · 337 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4312…a388backed Yes	10c	481.3$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	18cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x210c…2edabacked No	75c	455.4$341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.53	12	75%9 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	76cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4acd…b7a8backed Yes	24c	418.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	58	13.8%8 W · 50 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f74…5c44backed Yes	23c	415.04$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.82	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22d7…84e0backed Yes	24c	410.79$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	+3.2wins	+0.11per pick	16cpaid	+60.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x74c8…e1aabacked Yes	25c	400.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x778c…f3afbacked Yes	9c	400$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0f6…e965backed Yes	24c	393.27$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	32	12.5%4 W · 28 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-28%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9018…090fbacked Yes	27c	387.74$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.2	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes	40c	378.86$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9741…04ecbacked Yes	30c	372.64$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6305…9d0bbacked Yes	24c	368.28$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb630…f433backed No	69c	341.43$237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.43	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.18per pick	62cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58fc…18a6backed Yes	22c	341.36$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.56	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	17cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15af…16f3backed Yes	32c	324.53$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	6c	323.31$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.94	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x219a…ecaabacked Yes	16c	312.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	26cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x471e…b99abacked Yes	14c	309$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.09	48	18.8%9 W · 39 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c12…761cbacked Yes	26c	303.84$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.30per pick	45cpaid	+90.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e00…ea54backed Yes	9c	300$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.8	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf61…2ed5backed Yes	12c	293.41$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.21	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-59.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f9…705ebacked Yes	19c	291.79$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	21cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x701c…4615backed Yes	22c	275.33$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.24	64	17.2%11 W · 53 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No	75c	273.18$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.69	315	65.1%205 W · 110 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45f8…09ccbacked Yes	33c	269.23$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9241…f41cbacked Yes	38c	261.6$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	62	48.4%30 W · 32 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8134…305fbacked No	79c	251.3$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.87	63	17.5%11 W · 52 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcddc…63edbacked Yes	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	25	20%5 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	+301.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2105…c514backed Yes	5c	250$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	44	9.1%4 W · 40 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-43%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2439…d220backed Yes	8c	244.17$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.18per pick	22cpaid	+37.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5992…40bfbacked Yes	21c	234.08$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	80	26.3%21 W · 59 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c2…758bbacked No	71c	226.68$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.68	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+44.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x248e…7b12backed Yes	21c	211.69$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	207	17.4%36 W · 171 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26db…7abcbacked Yes	24c	210.97$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	61	19.7%12 W · 49 L	-6.8wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbece…173cbacked Yes	30c	202$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x841f…8c4bbacked Yes	26c	200.38$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.7	10	20%2 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	+34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1de…85d9backed Yes	26c	200.15$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.5	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0850…74c5backed Yes	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.52	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ae…c6e0backed Yes	32c	200$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.4	52	13.5%7 W · 45 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x824c…6874backed Yes	22c	200$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	43	9.3%4 W · 39 L	-3.9wins	-0.09per pick	18cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	27c	200$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.16	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeeef…d4fbbacked Yes	22c	193.48$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.3	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-2.5wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c2e…5e69backed Yes	28c	190.07$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.09	431	26.2%113 W · 318 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa9d4…c8f5backed Yes	18c	188.83$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.99	50	14%7 W · 43 L	-3.4wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa881…8b3ebacked Yes	19c	186.19$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.24	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes	7c	180$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.95	439	33%145 W · 294 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23b4…80efbacked Yes	23c	180$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.24	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4ef…682fbacked No	73c	178.32$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.95	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2620…66e8backed No	68c	176.64$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.64	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.18per pick	57cpaid	+21%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45f3…26bebacked Yes	31c	176.43$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa3ba…0f20backed No	68c	170.88$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.88	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.26per pick	49cpaid	+49.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2d4…36dbbacked Yes	23c	170.68$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-33%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf469…7aa9backed Yes	13c	168.56$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-52%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes	23c	162$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.18	92	29.3%27 W · 65 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e57…462fbacked Yes	36c	152.93$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6742…2ab7backed Yes	13c	152.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	23cpaid	-77.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4333…1f57backed No	68c	151.08$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.92	169	69.2%117 W · 52 L	+17.6wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+13%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcafd…2c31backed Yes	38c	151.02$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5320…2845backed Yes	36c	150.84$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event