NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x569bda5ec57e14fd48704f1b52874d0379c442095f6023f31087571a934d1045
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Pacers, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $791,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $810,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $791,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 747 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Grizzlies | 55c | 74,853$40,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,915.95 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…ce5ebacked Pacers | 46c | 58,110$26,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,685.47 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Pacers | 15c | 55,475$8,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,155.79 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Grizzlies | 54c | 38,000$20,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,480 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Pacers | 45c | 35,062$15,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,877.79 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Pacers | 42c | 34,885$14,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,778.58 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Grizzlies | 55c | 34,181$18,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,381.53 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Grizzlies | 46c | 33,238$15,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,990.68 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02fc…2c31backed Pacers | 46c | 27,043$12,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,440 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9af…6371backed Pacers | 45c | 20,902$9,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,406 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Grizzlies | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,800 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc10…3f05backed Pacers | 54c | 18,500$9,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,989.99 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a56…6bbbbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 15,708$7,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,854 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480c…d2e6backed Pacers | 50c | 15,708$7,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,854 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2e…14b5backed Pacers | 50c | 15,029$7,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,514.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…51e0backed Grizzlies | 50c | 15,029$7,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,514.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked Pacers | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a3…8a3dbacked Pacers | 50c | 14,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Grizzlies | 49c | 13,813$6,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,022.44 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Pacers | 54c | 13,594$7,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,341.02 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Grizzlies | 61c | 11,369$6,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,416.16 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…febfbacked Pacers | 51c | 11,100$5,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,661 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Grizzlies | 53c | 10,680$5,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,969.53 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Grizzlies | 52c | 10,082$5,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,797.15 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Grizzlies | 50c | 9,660$4,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,830.2 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Pacers | 51c | 9,086$4,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,646.12 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Grizzlies | 54c | 9,000$4,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,140 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 71c | 6,784$4,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.88 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d41…fa71backed Pacers | 50c | 6,560$3,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,252 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Grizzlies | 56c | 6,000$3,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,670 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Pacers | 2c | 5,663$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.53 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…3c20backed Pacers | 24c | 5,129$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.09 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Grizzlies | 74c | 5,031$3,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.69 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…a07ebacked Pacers | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Pacers | 55c | 4,689$2,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,578.95 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0d…747bbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 4,158$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pacers | 10c | 3,964$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.38 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 3,860$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.58 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…28bfbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 3,800$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Pacers | 45c | 3,500$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Pacers | 48c | 3,392$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.1 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Pacers | 46c | 3,283$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.89 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d8…9e6cbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 3,224$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Pacers | 39c | 3,079$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 55c | 2,862$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.54 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Grizzlies | 69c | 2,553$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.27 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Pacers | 37c | 2,500$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.96 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pacers | 49c | 2,235$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Grizzlies | 55c | 2,200$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.98 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…a857backed Grizzlies | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 1,944$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.03 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Pacers | 36c | 1,892$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.78 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Pacers | 54c | 1,773$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.03 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…3801backed Pacers | 35c | 1,757$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 1,739$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.34 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,735$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.69 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Pacers | 54c | 1,641$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.29 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pacers | 34c | 1,526$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.95 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…8a9fbacked Grizzlies | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b3…dde6backed Pacers | 53c | 1,381$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Pacers | 46c | 1,335$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.26 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6d…400cbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 1,334$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.24 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 1,316$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.76 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed Grizzlies | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Pacers | 29c | 1,098$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.02 | 306 | 19.9%61 W · 245 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb00…42e9backed Grizzlies | 56c | 1,076$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.04 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Pacers | 17c | 1,046$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.08 | 74 | 18.9%14 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…4375backed Grizzlies | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Pacers | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…331cbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd0…e4dbbacked Pacers | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb78a…8d9bbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b91…e572backed Pacers | 3c | 999.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Pacers | 45c | 999.42$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.24 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Pacers | 53c | 988.68$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 972$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.12 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Grizzlies | 56c | 968.23$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.02 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 963.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.97 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd61c…9ed0backed Grizzlies | 53c | 941.85$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e9…5e83backed Grizzlies | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Grizzlies | 51c | 884.85$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.61 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…e081backed Grizzlies | 50c | 880$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf6…5900backed Pacers | 53c | 830$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Pacers | 54c | 828.61$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.98 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…9277backed Grizzlies | 50c | 815.04$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.52 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbda…e51cbacked Pacers | 53c | 815$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c5…f211backed Grizzlies | 55c | 810.91$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Pacers | 48c | 789.29$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 563 | 52%293 W · 270 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Grizzlies | 54c | 774$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.04 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e0…ce5bbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 765$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Pacers | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Pacers | 2c | 724.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies | 78c | 700$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Pacers | 54c | 672$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.88 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Pacers | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Grizzlies | 72c | 651.98$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.55 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb594…caeebacked Grizzlies | 53c | 648$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Pacers | 51c | 638.63$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.7 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Pacers | 47c | 632.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Grizzliesthis page
- Pacers vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 238.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 239.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 240.5Under won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Pacers (-1.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Pacers (-2.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.