AI · resolved market

Will Pope Francis be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd8411af3abc658bea36d234490ab9ebc2047628d5f8bd3b1434101c9b3f4058

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 4, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: AIevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $209,837
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $178,173

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,837 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in AI
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd6f1…11eebacked Yes	10c	15,000$1,481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,481.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17a9…9080backed Yes	6c	11,413$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660.49	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06ec…f845backed Yes	5c	10,557$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480.06	63	28.6%18 W · 45 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+59%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbd0…edc4backed Yes	6c	8,837$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550.06	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x103d…b4a9backed Yes	8c	8,712$719 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$719.41	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	7,042$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.06	1,363	6.8%93 W · 1,270 L	-20.2wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-59.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bb7…44f2backed Yes	8c	6,808$573 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$573.32	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98ec…8fd6backed Yes	7c	5,510$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.51	24	12.5%3 W · 21 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd45…c05ebacked Yes	7c	5,388$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380.63	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	24cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes	9c	5,000$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$467.89	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01e7…89b4backed Yes	8c	4,891$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.38	47	29.8%14 W · 33 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-32%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5188…c804backed Yes	4c	4,674$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.64	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	+4.5wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c00…0c2fbacked Yes	10c	4,116$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c39…56dcbacked Yes	7c	3,904$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.67	69	31.9%22 W · 47 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27e4…ff39backed Yes	8c	3,856$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes	9c	3,307$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.74	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	+6.1wins	+0.12per pick	29cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x82c6…f1f9backed Yes	10c	2,279$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.47	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.24per pick	9cpaid	+397.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9880…82d6backed Yes	8c	1,976$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.56	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc363…9fd8backed Yes	8c	1,855$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.29	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	38cpaid	-71%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfb3…4b43backed Yes	8c	1,732$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.54	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+3.3wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x501a…5165backed Yes	9c	1,606$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.62	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed Yes	10c	1,476$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.98	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9a9…79a4backed Yes	8c	1,408$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.73	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1a8…bcf1backed Yes	7c	1,397$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dbd…dde8backed Yes	8c	1,237$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe020…3455backed Yes	8c	1,234$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63b1…6e40backed Yes	8c	1,150$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.5	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-74.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	8c	1,111$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.52	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes	8c	1,005$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.16	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c11…9b33backed Yes	7c	999.93$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.15per pick	38cpaid	-61.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c18…d823backed Yes	8c	993.97$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.53	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8979…f003backed Yes	6c	914.24$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.05	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.1wins	-0.24per pick	46cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes	7c	903.37$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.75	71	2.8%2 W · 69 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c97…3b0ebacked Yes	11c	898.75$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	22cpaid	-81.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae3b…3b2bbacked Yes	9c	820.15$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Yes	6c	796.06$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	42	28.6%12 W · 30 L	-5.0wins	-0.12per pick	40cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes	8c	791.71$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.57	51	11.8%6 W · 45 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-66.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4966…0401backed Yes	6c	779.94$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07d5…709bbacked Yes	8c	766.42$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd30…81fbbacked Yes	9c	734.04$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.53	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd3…50c8backed Yes	9c	730.63$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfeee…a4a9backed Yes	7c	683.72$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.6	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes	6c	606$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.51	52	23.1%12 W · 40 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1224…9897backed Yes	8c	575.95$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.28	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27ec…27aebacked Yes	9c	559.93$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-2.7wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d01…1645backed Yes	8c	556.08$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.48	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes	5c	545.27$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.46	183	23%42 W · 141 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf847…5bc9backed Yes	6c	508.94$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.06	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3769…2799backed Yes	5c	500$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x293b…600cbacked Yes	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.1	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.27per pick	41cpaid	-81%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes	7c	499.98$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	28	25%7 W · 21 L	-3.3wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe897…fc6bbacked Yes	8c	493.02$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes	7c	485.15$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.47	183	11.5%21 W · 162 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe44c…4547backed Yes	6c	463.68$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.1wins	+0.21per pick	49cpaid	+32.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb54a…cf5abacked Yes	7c	451.57$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.89	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4745…5916backed Yes	7c	450$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.02	96	37.5%36 W · 60 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes	8c	449.96$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	52	25%13 W · 39 L	-4.7wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x64a8…42ebbacked Yes	9c	430.11$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef72…3c45backed Yes	8c	422.9$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.9	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.24per pick	26cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5bc…21ccbacked Yes	5c	410$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.86	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc9b2…4e0cbacked Yes	5c	369.88$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb19f…25a8backed Yes	8c	367.79$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	19cpaid	-75.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6308…d793backed Yes	4c	367.25$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	16cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x429f…f284backed Yes	9c	363.7$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.66	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc16…f420backed Yes	9c	361.22$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.51	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5ed…6dbabacked Yes	10c	340$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.44	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-3.5wins	-0.29per pick	37cpaid	-89.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4430…f40ebacked Yes	6c	323.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x343e…360ebacked Yes	9c	323.45$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.3	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e46…e22fbacked Yes	6c	312.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe419…5839backed Yes	9c	301.7$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.34	71	39.4%28 W · 43 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6da…c7b0backed Yes	7c	299.75$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc413…3204backed Yes	9c	299.57$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.64	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cdc…b276backed Yes	8c	294.97$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x633f…3c8abacked Yes	5c	294.02$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6b2…84babacked Yes	7c	282.93$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.12per pick	26cpaid	-81.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfed7…5429backed Yes	7c	281.71$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.11	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	8c	278$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.31	407	12.3%50 W · 357 L	-35.7wins	-0.09per pick	21cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4efb…d59dbacked Yes	9c	273.05$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe00a…cb9ebacked Yes	10c	257.22$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14d4…c3f7backed Yes	8c	239.97$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c2d…25c1backed Yes	7c	229.7$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.9	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ec7…7a26backed Yes	9c	228.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	24cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x039d…a1bcbacked Yes	9c	219.35$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…c54fbacked Yes	9c	218.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	+2.8wins	+0.11per pick	24cpaid	+133.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xffad…83bbbacked Yes	9c	216.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0989…1b82backed Yes	10c	208.29$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03bf…2df8backed Yes	10c	208.25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-36%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3dd6…e41dbacked Yes	8c	202.67$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.83	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f17…151ebacked Yes	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.1	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e41…607cbacked Yes	8c	194.81$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x63d4…b5b7backed Yes	9c	193.55$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcaf…9916backed Yes	8c	175.21$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.01	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x676c…fb49backed Yes	8c	175$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.18	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0298…d119backed Yes	6c	166.71$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x115d…04fabacked Yes	8c	165.88$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e8e…1630backed Yes	9c	160$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.24	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffde…219dbacked Yes	8c	140$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.64	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Pope Francis be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event