AI · resolved market
Will Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecc0e4aa4fac734b929ecd0233b006339ef97e044a4a3daad22fc6b33975c8e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $343,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $377,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $343,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17a9…9080backed No | 15c | 28,182$4,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,202.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…fdfebacked No | 10c | 5,000$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed No | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No | 4c | 4,171$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.4 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…edc4backed No | 10c | 3,841$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 0c | 3,686$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e7…89b4backed No | 12c | 3,255$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.13 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 9c | 3,172$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.02 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed No | 10c | 2,536$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.26 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…6c5dbacked No | 10c | 2,385$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.51 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…955dbacked No | 14c | 2,358$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +255.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed Yes | 80c | 2,250$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 6c | 2,003$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.79 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No | 13c | 1,998$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked No | 13c | 1,846$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -88.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 10c | 1,586$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.36 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…7b78backed No | 13c | 1,248$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.54 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 13c | 1,027$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.65 | 107 | 23.4%25 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked No | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2d…dbcbbacked No | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 9c | 999.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…d611backed No | 11c | 999.86$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked No | 11c | 999.86$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 6c | 999.01$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 10c | 988.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 11c | 964.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.15 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb00…c338backed No | 12c | 858.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeeb…7c86backed No | 10c | 780$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 2c | 771.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02a…8edbbacked No | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0989…1b82backed No | 11c | 727.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c97…3b0ebacked No | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 7c | 676.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb94c…3c05backed No | 11c | 652.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 20cpaid | +163.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3b…3035backed No | 11c | 600.01$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5518…46c8backed No | 7c | 600$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4966…0401backed No | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…e718backed No | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66c…4fafbacked No | 11c | 540.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed No | 10c | 518$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328f…4079backed No | 11c | 516.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.73 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe020…3455backed No | 15c | 507.07$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed No | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a8f8backed No | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf434…c6aabacked Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed No | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9880…82d6backed No | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc88…a949backed No | 10c | 499.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x501a…5165backed No | 15c | 479.3$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c2…784abacked No | 12c | 431.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed No | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x039d…a1bcbacked No | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x795a…b875backed No | 9c | 399.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 13c | 381.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 10c | 371.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 9c | 367$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56af…e2a4backed No | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…3b2bbacked No | 15c | 324.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…5073backed No | 9c | 302.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa18d…b16abacked Yes | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…e9cbbacked No | 7c | 270.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e2…e255backed No | 10c | 249.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b1…7b31backed No | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 7c | 210.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 12c | 209.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9119…d179backed No | 13c | 205.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a7…6dd3backed No | 13c | 205.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe188…c1d0backed No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…e00abacked No | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…e22fbacked No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc8…4c11backed No | 13c | 192.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…42ebbacked No | 11c | 190.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f5…9495backed No | 11c | 188.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed No | 11c | 186.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 9c | 182.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b2…84babacked No | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x756d…75e6backed No | 14c | 152.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed No | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…c931backed No | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe86c…10f3backed No | 12c | 123.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28b…3a2abacked No | 12c | 108.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 10c | 104$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…dd8bbacked No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…d14abacked No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf847…5bc9backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba6…3f82backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa515…fd70backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf448…e370backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…703dbacked No | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc21…9eb9backed No | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x429e…63a4backed No | 14c | 90$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked No | 14c | 72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?this page
- Will Dharmendra be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?No won
- Will Diane Keaton be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?No won
- Will Diogo Jota be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?No won
- Will D’Angelo be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?No won
- Will Gene Hackman be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?No won
- Will George Foreman be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?No won
- Will Giorgio Armani be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?No won
- Will Ismail Haniyeh be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?No won
- Will Mohammed Sinwar be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?No won
- Will Ozzy Osbourne be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?No won
- Will Pope Francis be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?No won
- Will Robert Redford be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?No won
- Will Val Kilmer be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.