Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5da1ea1f3b67411908af996b5b257120c7e0a1f803633c807e103d1b2a6a311
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $609,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $630,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $609,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 417 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5992…c50cbacked No | 38c | 30,827$11,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,714.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…d242backed Yes | 62c | 30,827$19,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,714.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 41c | 20,965$8,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,652.43 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14af…52e5backed No | 6c | 18,653$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…0a0fbacked Yes | 51c | 11,600$5,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,731.98 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…626bbacked No | 4c | 11,382$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb09…0395backed No | 0c | 10,541$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f51ebacked No | 38c | 10,000$3,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,811.59 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 14c | 9,896$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.63 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 76c | 9,468$7,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,315.65 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0b…69e6backed Yes | 65c | 7,382$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,581.87 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 7,231$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.37 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked No | 14c | 7,000$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 73c | 6,238$4,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.29 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f31…f7ebbacked No | 0c | 6,115$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fda…5b87backed Yes | 63c | 6,095$3,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,253.39 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbd…fb37backed Yes | 64c | 6,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a27…eacbbacked No | 13c | 5,998$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked No | 6c | 5,887$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.92 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641e…aeb7backed No | 17c | 5,835$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 13c | 5,724$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.41 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed No | 14c | 5,158$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.52 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 19c | 4,287$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.85 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764d…15aebacked No | 25c | 4,034$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…7697backed No | 11c | 4,027$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312b…cafebacked No | 20c | 4,000$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.75 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…dfb6backed Yes | 49c | 3,956$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.97 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 65c | 3,953$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.12 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed No | 66c | 3,637$2,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,417.55 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13be…80fbbacked No | 16c | 3,630$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6d…3c85backed Yes | 75c | 3,600$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.79 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d7…172bbacked No | 27c | 3,526$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78e…30e3backed No | 16c | 3,506$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.6 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +106%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac57…f164backed No | 8c | 3,497$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.22 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…9937backed No | 15c | 3,209$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.88 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23e7…9669backed No | 47c | 3,168$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…23d9backed No | 16c | 3,045$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5377…e6dabacked Yes | 76c | 2,829$2,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.43 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10d6…a48cbacked No | 13c | 2,829$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.05 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd7…eb50backed No | 11c | 2,666$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8334…4e9fbacked No | 35c | 2,609$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.02 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf206…8cf6backed Yes | 71c | 2,581$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.11 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b0…338abacked No | 33c | 2,580$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.89 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 1c | 2,522$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda82…eb29backed Yes | 68c | 2,349$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +45%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…f6c1backed No | 28c | 2,330$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 50c | 2,319$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.22 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 30c | 2,312$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.51 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 17c | 2,304$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.47 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e02…b56dbacked Yes | 47c | 2,262$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.47 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed No | 24c | 2,230$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x206a…29eebacked No | 38c | 2,082$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c7…3ff0backed No | 9c | 2,080$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.25 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee64…c04ebacked No | 16c | 2,073$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa156…8805backed No | 38c | 2,073$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 31c | 2,043$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.82 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 21c | 2,034$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.23 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe81f…0c92backed No | 7c | 2,016$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59cf…4275backed Yes | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.44 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 41cpaid | +126%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked No | 41c | 1,981$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.22 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x922f…69d4backed Yes | 61c | 1,957$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.81 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa591…9079backed Yes | 66c | 1,916$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.51 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc7…8a27backed Yes | 75c | 1,735$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.12 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed No | 32c | 1,710$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.07 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 48c | 1,642$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.77 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 29c | 1,632$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.07 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b8…b2b5backed No | 43c | 1,628$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd393…4d6cbacked No | 7c | 1,618$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ca…2bf7backed No | 13c | 1,558$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7b…0008backed Yes | 61c | 1,536$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb8…49bfbacked Yes | 65c | 1,400$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked Yes | 32c | 1,400$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 77c | 1,324$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.58 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa020…d807backed No | 16c | 1,316$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.4 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b69…0cdebacked Yes | 73c | 1,314$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.6 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec8…96a5backed No | 49c | 1,293$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.88 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked No | 12c | 1,279$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.68 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc33…d2f0backed No | 12c | 1,245$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7acd…cf9ebacked No | 9c | 1,129$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 77c | 1,105$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.15 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9708…e1a0backed No | 5c | 1,087$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa47c…09f2backed No | 37c | 1,067$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d8…5570backed No | 2c | 1,058$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked Yes | 34c | 1,057$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.2 | 156 | 26.9%42 W · 114 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef2f…dd1cbacked No | 5c | 1,034$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…b36cbacked No | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.5wins | -0.45per pick | 55cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…351dbacked No | 16c | 1,000$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 43c | 999.99$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf414…67fbbacked Yes | 69c | 999.98$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed No | 41c | 922.03$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.81 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc085…82fabacked Yes | 38c | 911.69$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.69 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8316backed No | 35c | 857.12$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1c…5d20backed Yes | 59c | 851.36$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.36 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…9498backed No | 5c | 800.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed Yes | 78c | 799.68$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.96 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f5…6a2bbacked Yes | 60c | 780.54$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.8 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +113.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7eac…0c9ebacked No | 10c | 770$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a1…2b76backed Yes | 69c | 724.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.93 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…005dbacked Yes | 69c | 722.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.44 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.