Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% or less in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd93a765102baec5f5399b160a821ec455e7e0f2440be5e44add98ca0fc02e108
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $610,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $628,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $610,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8921…fbd0backed No | 69c | 53,712$37,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,061.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6086…c78abacked Yes | 31c | 53,712$16,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,061.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…6d84backed No | 58c | 40,035$23,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,220.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fed…89cbbacked Yes | 42c | 40,035$16,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,220.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1f…842cbacked Yes | 44c | 33,422$14,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,717.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea07…5ee8backed No | 56c | 33,422$18,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,716.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc139…2fabbacked No | 55c | 33,144$18,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,229.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f97…555fbacked Yes | 45c | 33,144$14,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,229.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc620…070fbacked No | 66c | 32,321$21,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,331.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc34…8b32backed Yes | 34c | 32,321$10,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,331.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e3…a24bbacked No | 59c | 28,347$16,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,724.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c0…2f5ebacked Yes | 41c | 28,347$11,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,724.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f54…99d8backed No | 48c | 27,565$13,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,231.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2c…20c3backed Yes | 52c | 27,565$14,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,231.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a403backed Yes | 43c | 14,549$6,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,272.01 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed No | 59c | 8,249$4,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,835.83 | 128 | 20.3%26 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 56c | 7,480$4,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,189.17 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 54c | 6,859$3,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,733.65 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 42c | 6,363$2,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,678.85 | 224 | 33.9%76 W · 148 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb671…3c14backed Yes | 47c | 4,510$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,390.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 56c | 4,319$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,432.06 | 233 | 30.5%71 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 59c | 4,105$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424.68 | 199 | 31.7%63 W · 136 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…5d71backed Yes | 42c | 4,072$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371.61 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…0e6dbacked Yes | 38c | 3,958$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,442.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 4c | 3,406$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,270.09 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | +182.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 41c | 2,723$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.67 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…339fbacked Yes | 18c | 2,620$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.29per pick | 33cpaid | +118%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2684…d3d6backed Yes | 39c | 1,209$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.46 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6147…d34ebacked Yes | 47c | 1,187$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.03 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 55c | 1,147$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.49 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 37c | 1,083$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd41…8ebbbacked No | 56c | 999.95$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x404f…561dbacked Yes | 49c | 953.93$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.93 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -54%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x262f…5b06backed Yes | 43c | 920.83$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +130.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x875e…29bdbacked Yes | 71c | 910.58$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e3…ec56backed Yes | 46c | 794.23$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…cf85backed Yes | 33c | 733.16$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +199.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 37c | 638.23$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.88 | 175 | 28%49 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 59c | 630.56$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.52 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed No | 51c | 569.08$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 45c | 562.08$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda78…e9c1backed No | 54c | 555.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.82 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed No | 48c | 550$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 51c | 550$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.75 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…ea70backed Yes | 48c | 510.33$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.31 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c09…a632backed Yes | 40c | 500$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd9…32d5backed Yes | 51c | 495$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd7…2c89backed Yes | 38c | 479.85$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe91d…c4c8backed Yes | 41c | 450$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b86…53d7backed Yes | 44c | 424.96$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 34c | 410.03$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.71 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b63…4b44backed Yes | 48c | 401.38$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.84 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 55c | 383.98$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.04 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 57c | 372.58$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.92 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 51c | 371$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.93 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d2…f38bbacked Yes | 37c | 353.61$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44c…eb34backed Yes | 45c | 353$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked Yes | 33c | 350$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.5 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -6.5wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa91f…5a64backed Yes | 45c | 349.94$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 10c | 345.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x978b…7e07backed No | 55c | 330.91$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…fdd3backed Yes | 58c | 330$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 67 | 7.5%5 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 58c | 328.32$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.71 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…d31fbacked No | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5770…bafcbacked No | 55c | 290$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 49c | 282.38$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.64 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…6ce4backed Yes | 40c | 274.02$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +152.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…2f88backed Yes | 37c | 270$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +156.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c8c3backed Yes | 37c | 269.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 55c | 260$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.95 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf422…6743backed Yes | 59c | 253.04$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…d705backed Yes | 42c | 240.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5232backed Yes | 43c | 234$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.38 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed Yes | 44c | 226.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +154%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6841…23bebacked Yes | 34c | 220.59$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbd…8d71backed Yes | 44c | 214.3$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…7067backed Yes | 42c | 213.41$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 45c | 205.17$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.93 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 64c | 204.08$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.33 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c8…2102backed Yes | 50c | 202$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked Yes | 47c | 200.1$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.26 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…7b78backed No | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df7…afb0backed Yes | 47c | 197$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.83 | 90 | 24.4%22 W · 68 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0a…db49backed Yes | 41c | 171.17$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb008…5d6bbacked Yes | 60c | 166$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 64c | 157.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 36c | 150$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9e…547dbacked Yes | 51c | 149.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a7…349fbacked No | 58c | 139.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2544…f24ebacked Yes | 32c | 134.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +210.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc1…6362backed Yes | 32c | 130$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.71per pick | 30cpaid | +241.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc047…fecbbacked Yes | 36c | 128.39$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 48c | 126$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31f…819bbacked Yes | 32c | 125.95$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7e…8a48backed Yes | 57c | 125$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8c…bfefbacked Yes | 46c | 124.91$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.76 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d3…4356backed No | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d7…6977backed Yes | 40c | 120$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…f01cbacked Yes | 46c | 114.57$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked No | 60c | 110.01$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.51 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% or less in April?this page
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in April?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in April?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in April?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% or more in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.