Us Politics · resolved market
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended by January 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x502ce28ca011a3b56c2a8fa419ce23a0faabcaf1a9ea706b2bccf2f300f67967
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked Yes | 18c | 25,556$4,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,713.38 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 78c | 11,997$9,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,631.23 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…6320backed Yes | 16c | 10,085$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.45 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed No | 78c | 5,752$4,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcd…8f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,799$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 9c | 1,850$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 86 | 15.1%13 W · 73 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f79…c76ebacked Yes | 32c | 1,540$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…83febacked No | 77c | 1,460$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 19c | 1,388$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.82 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,351$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 76c | 1,200$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9630…b278backed Yes | 19c | 1,152$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.66 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +150.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b7…d913backed No | 66c | 1,119$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…e744backed Yes | 43c | 1,110$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.3 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 2c | 1,013$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 73 | 6.8%5 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 60c | 921.38$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.09 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…f215backed No | 67c | 920$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d0…9637backed Yes | 22c | 913.59$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83be…6f94backed Yes | 37c | 874$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…9964backed No | 63c | 838$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 72c | 805.91$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.27 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed No | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2d…caf4backed No | 67c | 784$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…f4d1backed Yes | 27c | 762$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 4c | 757.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a16…0c03backed No | 63c | 748$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a8…9b29backed Yes | 38c | 744$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…df9bbacked Yes | 5c | 713.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed No | 62c | 713$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…7260backed Yes | 37c | 698$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…2d28backed Yes | 19c | 690.1$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc82…9301backed Yes | 3c | 685.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ad…990ebacked Yes | 17c | 672$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…ee5abacked Yes | 37c | 667$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 647.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcde9…d705backed Yes | 33c | 644$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…3421backed No | 73c | 644$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…2a44backed Yes | 34c | 643$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x455a…966cbacked Yes | 16c | 640.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 8c | 630.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 187 | 25.1%47 W · 140 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…095ebacked Yes | 37c | 623$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…32d9backed Yes | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 3c | 600$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 57 | 10.5%6 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…44adbacked No | 63c | 599$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6f…deaebacked Yes | 33c | 592$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…1272backed Yes | 27c | 588$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 4c | 582.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 76 | 5.3%4 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…f59bbacked Yes | 27c | 577$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.79 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7feb…6bc2backed No | 73c | 565$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…1e38backed Yes | 38c | 556$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 2c | 540.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 78 | 7.7%6 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b4…c17abacked Yes | 27c | 519$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa906…84e4backed Yes | 37c | 509$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…a152backed Yes | 37c | 503$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…dfbfbacked No | 76c | 480$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39d…7669backed Yes | 24c | 480$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed No | 62c | 478$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc886…696fbacked No | 63c | 445$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x458d…0c9abacked Yes | 25c | 435$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed No | 63c | 423$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed No | 63c | 412$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed No | 73c | 408$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7176…6f9fbacked No | 63c | 407$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.15 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc2…40d7backed No | 73c | 396$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 17c | 390$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 152 | 27.6%42 W · 110 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ce…3c8ebacked No | 62c | 386$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…b0a5backed Yes | 38c | 386$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed7a…2186backed Yes | 23c | 380$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fda…e430backed Yes | 16c | 370$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce65…66fdbacked No | 73c | 368$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…f02bbacked Yes | 37c | 367$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 32c | 354.75$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.72 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2604…13ccbacked No | 63c | 322$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…e642backed Yes | 37c | 304$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d87…495ebacked No | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x506f…3a6cbacked Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b8…0c87backed Yes | 33c | 295$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 16c | 293$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 110 | 10%11 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2103…e296backed No | 66c | 292$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…1ff0backed No | 63c | 278$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8132…a491backed No | 63c | 270$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bb…e885backed Yes | 38c | 265$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 48c | 255$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.35 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9837…8bf8backed No | 78c | 250$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…7ddcbacked Yes | 33c | 249$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…4578backed Yes | 33c | 248$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f8…f38fbacked Yes | 26c | 238$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb5…8ef7backed No | 74c | 238$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…9f70backed No | 67c | 232$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 25c | 228.39$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.03 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb212…0f8ebacked No | 67c | 211$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…5bc1backed Yes | 27c | 202$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6181…ad60backed Yes | 24c | 200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb24…ac2cbacked No | 70c | 198.93$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6578…ba32backed No | 62c | 194$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d6…e6e0backed No | 75c | 194$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…9d91backed Yes | 25c | 194$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf738…56bdbacked No | 62c | 189$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…0b1ebacked No | 63c | 177$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.