Movies · resolved market
Will Good Hang with Amy Poehler win Best Podcast at the 83rd Golden Globes?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2728bf71bef3482f301c6dbf5fca2e82ac08c4f9ef0c68f7ed7f4e9b7a2c18f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcfb8…ec8dbacked No | 29c | 1,548$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.23 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…a617backed Yes | 72c | 1,519$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.99 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…09dcbacked Yes | 69c | 1,456$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.36 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5374…952abacked Yes | 74c | 1,216$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…bb33backed No | 26c | 1,185$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.1 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 72c | 1,179$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.7 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked No | 26c | 1,143$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.18 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…cd55backed No | 30c | 1,088$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.6 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a6f0backed No | 26c | 1,041$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.66 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…e109backed No | 28c | 986$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.08 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…1f07backed No | 26c | 981$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.06 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04da…dc10backed Yes | 74c | 959$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.34 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…d9c1backed Yes | 72c | 918$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.04 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2abd…74ebbacked Yes | 70c | 890$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…54a7backed No | 26c | 880$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.8 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…e974backed No | 30c | 844$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…4590backed Yes | 70c | 819$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.7 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe433…1700backed Yes | 70c | 745$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…b38fbacked No | 26c | 705$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.3 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc123…115cbacked Yes | 74c | 701$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.26 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…31a9backed Yes | 74c | 693$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.18 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked Yes | 74c | 679$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.54 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c9…6bdebacked No | 31c | 674$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.94 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…a751backed Yes | 74c | 643$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.18 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 37c | 636.06$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.09 | 140 | 15%21 W · 119 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…48dabacked No | 30c | 603$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.9 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ba…c705backed No | 31c | 599$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.69 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…c83bbacked No | 27c | 562$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.74 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6159…7501backed No | 30c | 559$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.7 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…929dbacked Yes | 74c | 533$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.58 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…19bebacked Yes | 70c | 522$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.6 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…7fc6backed No | 26c | 520$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f68…21ecbacked No | 29c | 505$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.06 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf738…56bdbacked No | 26c | 497$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e55…59d2backed Yes | 74c | 497$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.22 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…6622backed No | 30c | 493$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.9 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc886…696fbacked No | 28c | 484$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.52 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…cc6fbacked Yes | 74c | 482$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.32 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 27c | 476$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.78 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa71…9767backed Yes | 69c | 474$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.58 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…9f48backed No | 33c | 469$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.77 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…f02bbacked No | 26c | 463$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.38 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…7181backed Yes | 74c | 455$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.3 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeac…95c6backed No | 31c | 448$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.7 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8acf…2f7bbacked Yes | 74c | 435$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.1 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…88f0backed No | 26c | 435$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.1 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09be…76d5backed Yes | 68c | 427$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.55 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ead…6c75backed No | 26c | 422$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.72 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6317…e864backed Yes | 73c | 422$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.94 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 62c | 421.17$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.83 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…0b1ebacked No | 33c | 408$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.64 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…b2fabacked No | 31c | 408$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.48 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed Yes | 74c | 405$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 29c | 367.92$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.44 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6a…53e0backed Yes | 74c | 359$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.34 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf666…8842backed Yes | 67c | 355$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.15 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc9…5856backed Yes | 72c | 352$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.56 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83be…6f94backed Yes | 75c | 347$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.75 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e96…c895backed Yes | 72c | 345$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab88…e0a4backed No | 31c | 342$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.02 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…b842backed No | 26c | 342$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…a0c9backed Yes | 71c | 342$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.18 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…75e7backed No | 30c | 332$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…e7d3backed Yes | 70c | 332$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…be1dbacked No | 26c | 321$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.46 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e72…7de5backed Yes | 74c | 313$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.38 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…333fbacked No | 30c | 312$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed No | 31c | 303$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.93 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed Yes | 69c | 303$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.93 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb8…69edbacked No | 8c | 299.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked No | 30c | 297$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f81…e93fbacked Yes | 73c | 273.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.93 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 74cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4e…6533backed No | 30c | 270$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 30c | 267$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.21 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 28c | 258.18$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 266 | 41.7%111 W · 155 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x809a…f315backed Yes | 69c | 252$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.12 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb25c…6d89backed Yes | 70c | 246$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…a237backed No | 30c | 246$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -37%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd137…ceacbacked No | 30c | 246$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb407…a978backed Yes | 70c | 246$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 22c | 239.83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed No | 24c | 234.41$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.36 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c2…fcbebacked Yes | 69c | 234$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.54 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f3…09e0backed Yes | 69c | 230$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.3 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…83a4backed Yes | 74c | 225$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc771…e858backed No | 26c | 225$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…6b99backed Yes | 71c | 212$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.24 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked Yes | 74c | 209$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.34 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf298…12f8backed Yes | 69c | 208$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.48 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a9…d4f7backed Yes | 74c | 206$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe918…d166backed Yes | 70c | 204$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…09aabacked Yes | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaf…ee69backed Yes | 74c | 196.42$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d26…c9f4backed Yes | 70c | 192$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…162abacked Yes | 74c | 191$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cae…c0eebacked Yes | 70c | 186$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d9…4c53backed Yes | 73c | 186$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c0…c4c9backed Yes | 70c | 182$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc713…891fbacked No | 30c | 179$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed No | 26c | 178$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Good Hang with Amy Poehler win Best Podcast at the 83rd Golden Globes?this page
- Will Armchair Expert with Dax Shepard win Best Podcast at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Call Her Daddy win Best Podcast at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Smartless win Best Podcast at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will The Mel Robbins Podcast win Best Podcast at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.