Tennis · resolved market
Ostrava Open: Alycia Parks vs Julia Grabher
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bb483ee2011197f09f22e075920225d112d4341c03aa353bb49c97db7a194f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Parksof Parks, Grabher
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Grabher | 26c | 8,058$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115.94 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Parks | 77c | 6,537$5,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.31 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb62f…6836backed Grabher | 15c | 2,200$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3e…edc9backed Grabher | 14c | 2,113$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Parks | 75c | 1,636$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.63 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Grabher | 17c | 1,629$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.32 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Grabher | 17c | 1,575$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.34 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Grabher | 30c | 1,105$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.55 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dff…4d38backed Grabher | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 4cpaid | +447.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc4…c01ebacked Parks | 71c | 960$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…751ebacked Grabher | 29c | 960$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Parks | 74c | 784.03$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.71 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…a45bbacked Parks | 71c | 761.89$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.95 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…d0e2backed Grabher | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Grabher | 34c | 618.29$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.41 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Parks | 78c | 553.06$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.51 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…49b3backed Grabher | 11c | 542$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb69…ac1bbacked Grabher | 16c | 505.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Grabher | 6c | 500.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Grabher | 13c | 443.68$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.76 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Grabher | 12c | 403.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 146 | 13.7%20 W · 126 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Parks | 71c | 367.59$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.6 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca9…0955backed Grabher | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Grabher | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea6…0890backed Grabher | 19c | 300$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 77 | 24.7%19 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…d3febacked Parks | 67c | 274.85$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.16 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Grabher | 11c | 272.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b11…4419backed Grabher | 25c | 233.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Grabher | 31c | 225.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Grabher | 14c | 213.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 182 | 47.3%86 W · 96 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Grabher | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Parks | 76c | 191.6$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.73 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b5…85efbacked Grabher | 21c | 185.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Parks | 77c | 170.64$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Grabher | 16c | 157.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6721…d75bbacked Grabher | 10c | 149.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Parks | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Parks | 70c | 131.3$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Grabher | 10c | 124.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Parks | 79c | 120.73$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Grabher | 17c | 110.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x828c…fb4cbacked Grabher | 16c | 106.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Grabher | 25c | 101.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda51…ef7fbacked Grabher | 13c | 100.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5b79backed Grabher | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 205 | 15.6%32 W · 173 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Parks | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Grabher | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Grabher | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Grabher | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Grabher | 15c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…398ebacked Grabher | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…11c4backed Grabher | 16c | 82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Parks | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Parks | 51c | 74.19$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Parks | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 87 | 67.8%59 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Grabher | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafc8…1a91backed Grabher | 31c | 57.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…c9e4backed Grabher | 23c | 51.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Grabher | 30c | 49.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Grabher | 28c | 47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Grabher | 30c | 44.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab50…6e96backed Parks | 70c | 37.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Parks | 75c | 34.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Parks | 77c | 33.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2304…6541backed Parks | 70c | 30.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…fe5cbacked Parks | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Parks | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Parks | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d2…3c94backed Parks | 72c | 19.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Parks | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Parks | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ostrava Open: Alycia Parks vs Julia Grabherthis page
- Parks vs. Grabher: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Parks vs. Grabher: Match O/U 23.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.