TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa98a…11c4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.32
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+40.2%+$8.04
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+58.7%+$39.94
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+49.3%+$4.95
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$20.8
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+40.8%+$11.6
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$8.8
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.6
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+72.4%+$28.97
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.44
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Fery (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
BNP Paribas Open: Maria Sakkari vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
BNP Paribas Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.48
Qatar Total Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Clara Tausonbacked Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.26
Transylvania Open: Xinyu Wang vs Rebeka Masarovabacked Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+25%+$5
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+29.6%+$6.6
Open Sud de France: Titouan Droguet vs Jan Choinskibacked Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Open Sud de France: Hubert Hurkacz vs Martin Dammbacked Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Janice Tjenbacked Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+58.7%+$5.92
Ostrava Open: Brenda Fruhvirtova vs Fiona Ferrobacked Ferro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Transylvania Open: Emma Raducanu vs Greet Minnenbacked Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.2
Ostrava Open: Alycia Parks vs Julia Grabherbacked Grabher · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Paula Badosa vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichbacked Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.58
All 17 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+4.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$12.27
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$10.63
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+35.9%+$18.5
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.59
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$7.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OGC Nice vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.