TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Open Sud de France: Hubert Hurkacz vs Martin Damm

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dammof Hurkacz, Damm
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$132,296
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,495

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,296 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Damm80c12,852$10,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,575.448,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Damm40c12,511$4,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,512.3911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Hurkacz36c11,076$4,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,026.8712442.7%53 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec7a…a1f2backed Hurkacz73c8,216$6,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,011.0714766.7%98 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Hurkacz11c6,031$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.644,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe507…1258backed Hurkacz23c5,681$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.585623.2%13 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Hurkacz44c5,137$2,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,248.881,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Damm71c5,107$3,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,505.4580938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Hurkacz79c4,000$3,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,16044360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Damm57c3,759$2,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,622.192,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Damm57c3,678$2,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.32,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Damm50c2,980$1,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,484.87,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Hurkacz70c2,837$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00048851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Hurkacz68c2,370$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,611.5459151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Hurkacz43c2,283$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.2397046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Hurkacz45c2,230$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016133.5%54 W · 107 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd71a…67f5backed Hurkacz28c2,014$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.2418247.3%86 W · 96 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Hurkacz78c2,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.9444163.7%281 W · 160 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Hurkacz16c1,625$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26010815.7%17 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+248.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Hurkacz67c1,493$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00036968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Damm56c1,412$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.766,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Damm21c1,370$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.51,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Hurkacz48c1,335$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.5165647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Damm31c1,275$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.372,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Damm28c1,251$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.931,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Damm21c1,250$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.4727836.3%101 W · 177 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e18…8187backed Hurkacz44c1,176$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.41136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdc2…8b96backed Hurkacz44c1,132$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.991838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a0…c18cbacked Hurkacz36c1,128$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.5112033.3%40 W · 80 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Damm58c1,010$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.625156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Hurkacz43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43093055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Damm23c880.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.5765651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Damm63c811.69$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.69348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Hurkacz40c785.68$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.426,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Damm22c771.05$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.4216340.5%66 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Damm31c628.99$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.2725428%71 W · 183 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Damm21c588.86$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.194,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfa6…4eb6backed Damm59c509.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.682958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Damm30c499.61$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.9162545.4%284 W · 341 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Hurkacz41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20054348.1%261 W · 282 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Damm31c485.95$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.9526158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Hurkacz28c423.78$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12014613.7%20 W · 126 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Hurkacz45c420$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18965652.1%342 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Hurkacz42c418.41$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.3428726.8%77 W · 210 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Hurkacz77c413.64$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.4676140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Damm34c392.03$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.726,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Hurkacz79c379.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30059165.3%386 W · 205 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x848c…bfebbacked Damm58c374.37$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.781573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Hurkacz43c366$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.5369249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Damm52c312.49$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.8852037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Damm23c296.78$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.526851.5%35 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Hurkacz50c270$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.839431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0bf…dc6dbacked Hurkacz43c259$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.181266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x839a…e59cbacked Hurkacz78c248.93$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.161741.2%7 W · 10 L-4.5wins-0.26per pick67cpaid-38.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Damm40c234.55$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.937,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Damm21c231.71$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.059546.3%44 W · 51 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Damm21c224.01$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.92,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe16c…9d62backed Damm23c220.32$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3235248.6%171 W · 181 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Damm39c218.18$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.932,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Damm18c200$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16434842.2%147 W · 201 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9da2…ed3abacked Hurkacz79c189.87$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010668.9%73 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x444a…00bebacked Damm30c183.33$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.338831.8%28 W · 60 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Damm23c176.43$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.8518133.1%60 W · 121 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Damm21c164.44$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.96439.1%25 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0bb…4c8abacked Hurkacz79c154.66$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.1817158.5%100 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa918…8d4bbacked Damm56c151$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Damm22c134.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.381,14247.3%540 W · 602 L+65.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6986…d7a4backed Damm22c126.84$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.94666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick29cpaid+99.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Hurkacz79c126.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019253.1%102 W · 90 L-13.1wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b16…f3febacked Hurkacz80c126.41$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.561827.8%5 W · 13 L-6.9wins-0.38per pick66cpaid-62.8%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Hurkacz79c126.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010862%67 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd246…5622backed Hurkacz8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-48.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Damm26c120.25$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8149143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Damm22c118.18$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1865849.4%325 W · 333 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x039a…03a8backed Hurkacz70c117.57$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-66.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Hurkacz80c100$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808767.8%59 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea37…71d5backed Hurkacz79c100$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98d9…1a16backed Damm21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+111.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed Hurkacz70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.732853.6%15 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Hurkacz37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6825542%107 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09b6…f48dbacked Hurkacz43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4332050%160 W · 160 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Damm21c99.98$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.992450%12 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Damm21c94.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.0460240.5%244 W · 358 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ace…b219backed Damm22c90.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9112463.7%79 W · 45 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc503…b82cbacked Hurkacz24c86.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.416768.7%46 W · 21 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bb0…d1bbbacked Damm55c81.88$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.111330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-42.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Hurkacz28c79.34$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2224826.2%65 W · 183 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Damm30c77.09$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.61,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe09c…f300backed Damm31c75.45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.713177.4%24 W · 7 L+7.6wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+63.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xa74d…734cbacked Hurkacz78c70$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.628462.3%177 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3422…cd99backed Hurkacz35c68.29$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.91457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84a4…21c4backed Hurkacz79c65.82$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Damm31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5224638.2%94 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e13…391fbacked Damm21c63$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.77862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+38.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Damm32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.51,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ad8…43e2backed Hurkacz67c60.83$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6518541.1%76 W · 109 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Damm21c59.4$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.661,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fba…9815backed Damm38c58.48$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.552343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Damm56c54.2$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0488455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5acf…0df2backed Damm28c53.53$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.544242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.