Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Elina Svitolina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00683815971c68942599595dfd2e5e76b1520e6b1968f80e52ca1102755d86e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elina Svitolinaof Ashlyn Krueger, Elina Svitolina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,215 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Ashlyn Krueger | 12c | 16,173$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,883.85 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…008ebacked Ashlyn Krueger | 30c | 8,587$2,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,595.8 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ashlyn Krueger | 13c | 5,364$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.78 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Elina Svitolina | 77c | 2,610$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.29 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Ashlyn Krueger | 20c | 2,157$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.34 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Ashlyn Krueger | 9c | 1,667$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Elina Svitolina | 75c | 1,407$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.51 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x246d…c74dbacked Elina Svitolina | 76c | 1,314$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.6 | 180 | 53.9%97 W · 83 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Elina Svitolina | 77c | 1,240$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.2 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Ashlyn Krueger | 18c | 986.85$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 287 | 24.4%70 W · 217 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Ashlyn Krueger | 23c | 855.19$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.69 | 392 | 38.8%152 W · 240 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…280ebacked Ashlyn Krueger | 7c | 808.42$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…90b2backed Elina Svitolina | 78c | 784.64$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.52 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Ashlyn Krueger | 31c | 764.81$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.09 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…593ebacked Elina Svitolina | 24c | 700$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +7.9wins | +0.33per pick | 25cpaid | +127.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Ashlyn Krueger | 24c | 668.62$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.55 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…737ebacked Ashlyn Krueger | 25c | 610.79$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…6a8ebacked Elina Svitolina | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e8…b293backed Ashlyn Krueger | 2c | 526.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 203 | 37.9%77 W · 126 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Elina Svitolina | 67c | 494$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Ashlyn Krueger | 25c | 399.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 178 | 18%32 W · 146 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Ashlyn Krueger | 20c | 393.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Elina Svitolina | 66c | 324.28$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.31 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Ashlyn Krueger | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef0…f14cbacked Elina Svitolina | 20c | 300$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Ashlyn Krueger | 22c | 231.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 131 | 35.9%47 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Elina Svitolina | 63c | 230.92$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.44 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Elina Svitolina | 75c | 215$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 296 | 49.7%147 W · 149 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed Elina Svitolina | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Elina Svitolina | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e36…3fd0backed Elina Svitolina | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 14cpaid | +320.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Ashlyn Krueger | 22c | 192$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Elina Svitolina | 24c | 175$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | +273.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Elina Svitolina | 74c | 160$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Ashlyn Krueger | 23c | 155$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…e38ebacked Elina Svitolina | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 8cpaid | +199.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Elina Svitolina | 74c | 99.64$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Elina Svitolina | 71c | 96$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Ashlyn Krueger | 24c | 87.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Elina Svitolina | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 294 | 61.9%182 W · 112 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Elina Svitolina | 77c | 77.04$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Elina Svitolina | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 749 | 61.8%463 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Elina Svitolina | 70c | 68.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf86…5394backed Ashlyn Krueger | 24c | 66.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…f39abacked Elina Svitolina | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 606 | 61.2%371 W · 235 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked Elina Svitolina | 35c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Ashlyn Krueger | 23c | 46.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x899e…0863backed Elina Svitolina | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Elina Svitolina | 77c | 42.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x750d…566bbacked Elina Svitolina | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Elina Svitolina | 63c | 36.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Elina Svitolina | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Elina Svitolina | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Elina Svitolina | 63c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15e…8cacbacked Elina Svitolina | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 213 | 61.5%131 W · 82 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked Elina Svitolina | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f60…a419backed Elina Svitolina | 72c | 21.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2e…593fbacked Elina Svitolina | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…11c4backed Elina Svitolina | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…84a2backed Elina Svitolina | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce35…75aabacked Elina Svitolina | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eea…da7fbacked Elina Svitolina | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.96 | 128 | 74.2%95 W · 33 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BNP Paribas Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Elina Svitolinathis page
- Ashlyn Krueger vs. Elina Svitolina: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Krueger vs SvitolinaSvitolina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.