TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Qatar Total Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Clara Tauson

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Siniakovaof Siniakova, Tauson
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,768
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,317

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,768 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b5c…126ebacked Siniakova67c24,771$16,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,159.9880938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Tauson40c15,012$6,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,038.6966949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Siniakova60c14,786$8,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,843.012,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Tauson31c11,532$3,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,571.1819134%65 W · 126 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Tauson40c10,219$4,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,106.522,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Tauson56c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,599.9643051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Siniakova44c6,229$2,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,488.2576146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Siniakova54c5,156$2,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,392.427,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Tauson15c3,537$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.354645.7%21 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Siniakova72c3,336$2,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.12,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Siniakova55c2,489$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.612,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Siniakova44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.7332637.4%122 W · 204 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Tauson49c2,200$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.8819846%91 W · 107 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba9c…d2c1backed Tauson55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1003669.4%25 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a76…a324backed Tauson6c1,893$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Tauson61c1,651$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00057249.5%283 W · 289 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Tauson12c1,502$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1759737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Siniakova40c1,500$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.9934745.2%157 W · 190 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc76a…c5c9backed Tauson25c1,500$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3815527.3%15 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Siniakova42c1,151$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.891,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Siniakova74c1,110$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.629654.4%161 W · 135 L+0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c8…e4f7backed Tauson55c999.98$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.3313554.8%74 W · 61 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf50c…83edbacked Siniakova42c900$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5227100%7 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+88.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc04a…af81backed Tauson58c899.98$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.9970%0 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa2cc…55a0backed Siniakova44c799.99$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4484748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Tauson58c750$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.0545457.9%263 W · 191 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Tauson27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028833.3%96 W · 192 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Tauson15c739.46$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.942,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Tauson30c734.73$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.0722641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Tauson16c713.69$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.0863247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Tauson36c704.44$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.755646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Tauson39c699.99$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2751,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cb0…51d5backed Tauson58c691.9$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.320%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1c4…a218backed Tauson58c690.29$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.091533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Siniakova44c673.35$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.3765647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Siniakova54c656.44$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.0452037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Tauson16c652.01$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10512313.8%17 W · 106 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Siniakova39c535.19$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.887,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Siniakova41c526$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.341,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Tauson60c512.4$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31014568.3%99 W · 46 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Tauson52c466.23$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24431153.1%165 W · 146 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Siniakova40c430.37$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.4337230.4%113 W · 259 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e3…dd00backed Tauson58c344.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010547.6%50 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Tauson59c340$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.458753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Tauson34c309.23$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6849143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Siniakova43c299.99$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17140141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02c…7852backed Tauson58c285.76$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.742166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb06…4ababacked Tauson59c257.63$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15228754%155 W · 132 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9da2…ed3abacked Tauson60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010668.9%73 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Siniakova43c248$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.3695140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Siniakova68c241.27$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.153,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17b6…9acebacked Siniakova40c225$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1351100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc70…0d0bbacked Tauson60c220$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Siniakova65c217$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9973745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa50f…4dd3backed Siniakova40c217$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb34c…8223backed Tauson60c216$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7abc…c188backed Tauson60c215$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Siniakova50c212$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.961,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Siniakova72c212$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.341,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb887…1934backed Siniakova41c210$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8739…9c26backed Siniakova40c210$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1261100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c7…e012backed Tauson59c209$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Tauson41c208.33$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8554348.1%261 W · 282 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Siniakova67c208$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.869249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b7…1c7cbacked Tauson60c207$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c96…6cbebacked Tauson59c207$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf517…794ebacked Siniakova40c206$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa83…ff7bbacked Siniakova41c206$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd020…6394backed Tauson9c205$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9911.1%1 W · 8 L0.0wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Tauson12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2412722%28 W · 99 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+55.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Tauson45c199.99$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Siniakova42c195.45$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.567,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Siniakova62c178.96$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.366,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Tauson56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009762.9%61 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Tauson57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Tauson59c170.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010862%67 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Siniakova72c161.01$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7227546.5%128 W · 147 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Siniakova60c149.74$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.672,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Tauson13c149.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012735.4%45 W · 82 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Siniakova72c147.15$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4892548.8%451 W · 474 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Tauson60c141.19$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1826462.1%164 W · 100 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Siniakova43c140$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.842141.8%176 W · 245 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d80…07d4backed Siniakova42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.058065%52 W · 28 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+11.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Siniakova41c116.95$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6942046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x430b…6e64backed Tauson57c105.12$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9220447.5%97 W · 107 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e73…0892backed Tauson58c102.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Siniakova59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6914858.8%87 W · 61 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b6b…b355backed Tauson12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124122%9 W · 32 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick31cpaid+7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b05…b133backed Tauson54c98.37$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.12771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+34.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed Tauson42c96.61$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8621843.1%94 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Siniakova41c96.58$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5615343.8%67 W · 86 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd1…7040backed Tauson58c86.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023256.9%132 W · 100 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cd6…6d83backed Tauson58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Tauson34c85.15$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.353,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Tauson59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508547.1%40 W · 45 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Tauson57c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.727543.3%119 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Siniakova40c76.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.651,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Tauson59c67.62$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.94827.1%13 W · 35 L-6.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-48.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x289d…ed57backed Tauson60c66.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402050%10 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Tauson56c66.07$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3782560.5%499 W · 326 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.