Tennis · resolved market
Open Sud de France: Titouan Droguet vs Jan Choinski
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ce7977cbb3eeffa79ec02dee913fb5da3606c8f98baa32a928787759ef298ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Droguetof Droguet, Choinski
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Droguet | 75c | 12,518$9,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,083.08 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +6.4wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Choinski | 11c | 4,506$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Choinski | 8c | 3,255$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.4 | 108 | 15.7%17 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +248.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Choinski | 28c | 2,085$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Choinski | 20c | 1,819$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.37 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Choinski | 6c | 1,730$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.78 | 943 | 55.7%525 W · 418 L | +22.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Choinski | 24c | 1,707$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.05 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…4403backed Choinski | 7c | 1,457$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Choinski | 23c | 1,253$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.2 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Choinski | 12c | 1,219$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.67 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Choinski | 25c | 1,156$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.12 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Droguet | 76c | 1,094$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.47 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Choinski | 25c | 1,074$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.34 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Choinski | 6c | 999.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba4…69fbbacked Choinski | 24c | 854.43$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.06 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Choinski | 27c | 734.96$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.03 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…16ccbacked Choinski | 45c | 632.03$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.99 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…13dfbacked Choinski | 29c | 556.85$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Choinski | 7c | 541.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 148 | 13.5%20 W · 128 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Choinski | 7c | 376.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Droguet | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 331 | 55.6%184 W · 147 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Choinski | 24c | 324.54$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.89 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Choinski | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1da8…a481backed Choinski | 9c | 298.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Choinski | 20c | 282.95$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Choinski | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Droguet | 50c | 230$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Choinski | 26c | 206$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Choinski | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Choinski | 27c | 186$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Choinski | 25c | 137.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Choinski | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…e227backed Choinski | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Choinski | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5f…a8a0backed Droguet | 75c | 94$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Droguet | 72c | 92.88$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Choinski | 24c | 90.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Choinski | 25c | 85.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Choinski | 17c | 75.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Choinski | 28c | 71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4794…d6e5backed Droguet | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Choinski | 25c | 64.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Choinski | 25c | 57.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed Droguet | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 144 | 75%108 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Choinski | 30c | 49.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cea…5013backed Choinski | 23c | 43.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Droguet | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…88e5backed Droguet | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…fc19backed Droguet | 73c | 35.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…90a3backed Droguet | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Droguet | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…501bbacked Droguet | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…11c4backed Droguet | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Droguet | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 556 | 41.2%229 W · 327 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…84dbbacked Droguet | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Droguet | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Droguet | 73c | 17.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Droguet | 75c | 16.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Open Sud de France: Titouan Droguet vs Jan Choinskithis page
- Droguet vs. Choinski: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Set Handicap: Droguet (-1.5) vs Choinski (+1.5)Droguet won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.