TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Ekaterina Alexandrova

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alexandrovaof Yastremska, Alexandrova
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$114,535
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$137,434

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,535 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2727…eef4backed Yastremska16c15,606$2,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,450.7919134%65 W · 126 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yastremska11c11,528$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.778,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Alexandrova76c5,309$4,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.3935247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yastremska38c4,019$1,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.1225428%71 W · 183 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Yastremska13c3,842$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.3224438.9%95 W · 149 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Alexandrova62c3,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1401,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yastremska21c2,026$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.572,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dee…3d1bbacked Alexandrova65c1,817$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.922369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Yastremska35c1,601$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.39044.4%40 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yastremska20c1,423$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.487,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Alexandrova79c1,215$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.12,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Yastremska38c1,082$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41162545.4%284 W · 341 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Alexandrova62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3808231.7%26 W · 56 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Yastremska38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3806141%25 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Alexandrova62c939$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.8224448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Alexandrova65c800.19$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.0746553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0e3…dd00backed Alexandrova63c793.63$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.6410547.6%50 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yastremska11c755.48$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8180938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Alexandrova64c736.14$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.5814568.3%99 W · 46 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Yastremska38c684.21$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26025544.7%114 W · 141 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yastremska15c681.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6728952.6%152 W · 137 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Yastremska37c527.03$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19536038.9%140 W · 220 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc44…e036backed Alexandrova78c514.78$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.9711560%69 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Alexandrova62c476.3$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1812,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Alexandrova74c463.12$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.553,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33d…2a72backed Alexandrova65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.541973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Yastremska39c394.87$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15437339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Yastremska38c394.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.911435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Alexandrova62c357.37$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.895140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Alexandrova64c312.45$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.4568350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d7b…3a0dbacked Yastremska37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bff…5e35backed Alexandrova78c296.18$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.553450%17 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Alexandrova62c279.56$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.1876140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Yastremska37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yastremska11c268.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.821,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yastremska22c257.18$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.586,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Yastremska16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014613.7%20 W · 126 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Alexandrova65c245.44$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.4416665.7%109 W · 57 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd246…5622backed Yastremska9c226.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-48.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yastremska36c215.71$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.292,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc18f…bb01backed Yastremska29c206.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.991127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-59.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x279b…2365backed Alexandrova65c200.08$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.087237.5%27 W · 45 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Yastremska35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.121,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033f…b8cabacked Alexandrova65c192.31$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.312352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Yastremska22c182.89$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9452037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Yastremska38c178.95$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6828444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Yastremska25c171.4$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.288446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Alexandrova63c159.98$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1928552.3%149 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Alexandrova65c158.85$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.758753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab0…b46abacked Yastremska37c155.46$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5223735%83 W · 154 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Alexandrova65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8519452.1%101 W · 93 L-13.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99d5…2149backed Yastremska18c149.96$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4918540%74 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yastremska32c147.65$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.896,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yastremska21c134$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.811,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yastremska36c124.05$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.191,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab8…b5a6backed Alexandrova72c122.01$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.16837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-45%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8663…6888backed Yastremska18c110.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Yastremska38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013652.9%72 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yastremska25c104.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3949143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yastremska36c103.69$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3328835.1%101 W · 187 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Yastremska38c102.63$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3912536%45 W · 80 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Yastremska35c102$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Alexandrova64c101.56$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.569870.4%69 W · 29 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Alexandrova65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355147.1%24 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Alexandrova62c90$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.227344.7%122 W · 151 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Alexandrova78c85.58$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8342358.6%248 W · 175 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alexandrova74c85.04$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.017,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Yastremska33c84.63$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6327543.3%119 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yastremska22c78$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2497046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yastremska37c77$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.494,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Alexandrova62c71.91$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.111,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Yastremska35c64.51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.584,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bbf…f4e6backed Alexandrova79c63.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2914257%81 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00de…9c2ebacked Alexandrova80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x848c…bfebbacked Alexandrova73c60.73$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.121573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2745…a5fbbacked Alexandrova73c53.89$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.55875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+28.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cb8…846ebacked Yastremska28c51.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.562055%11 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3e0…66d0backed Alexandrova64c50.8$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.29366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Yastremska36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Alexandrova63c49.89$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.41,14247.3%540 W · 602 L+65.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b30…99cdbacked Alexandrova76c42.54$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.21172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+74.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Yastremska25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1024931.3%78 W · 171 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e9b…8b7dbacked Yastremska36c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.426837.3%100 W · 168 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb512…71c6backed Yastremska26c38.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab50…6e96backed Yastremska37c36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.325350.9%27 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb19…122ebacked Alexandrova80c35.87$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ba8…90a3backed Yastremska38c35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.348852.9%258 W · 230 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe09c…f300backed Alexandrova78c33.52$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.353177.4%24 W · 7 L+7.6wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+63.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Alexandrova65c33.28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6558067.8%393 W · 187 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4712…5bd6backed Alexandrova64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2514475%108 W · 36 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcb9…f39abacked Alexandrova64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2560661.2%371 W · 235 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0436…f431backed Alexandrova65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.775650%28 W · 28 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1793…4ebbbacked Alexandrova65c30.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6694060.6%570 W · 370 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdfa…223fbacked Yastremska37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.13764.9%24 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa98a…11c4backed Alexandrova77c28.88$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.61758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x320f…1420backed Alexandrova62c24.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3122258.1%129 W · 93 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Alexandrova64c23.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.442,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1487…d443backed Alexandrova64c23.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.32728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick60cpaid-53.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc08d…c13bbacked Alexandrova64c18.75$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.75683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0e4…98f5backed Alexandrova64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.637074.3%52 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.