TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

BNP Paribas Open: Maria Sakkari vs Iga Swiatek

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Iga Swiatekof Maria Sakkari, Iga Swiatek
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$297,422

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $297,422 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Maria Sakkari19c21,080$4,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,019.811,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Maria Sakkari19c19,404$3,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,642.787146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Maria Sakkari26c11,540$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00041645.4%189 W · 227 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Maria Sakkari19c6,844$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.72,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Maria Sakkari14c6,645$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.311,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fd5…d06bbacked Maria Sakkari21c5,517$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.474723.4%11 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Maria Sakkari18c5,500$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01713135.9%47 W · 84 L+0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91ad…a5cabacked Maria Sakkari16c5,285$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.9511919.3%23 W · 96 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Maria Sakkari20c3,659$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.831332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6de0…f7f1backed Iga Swiatek77c3,617$2,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.652560%15 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Maria Sakkari20c3,489$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.91,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Maria Sakkari30c3,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Iga Swiatek71c2,819$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.011,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Iga Swiatek76c2,655$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.9336968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Maria Sakkari4c2,137$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.951,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Iga Swiatek74c1,917$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.922,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Iga Swiatek80c1,875$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37554450.6%275 W · 269 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Maria Sakkari27c1,598$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.422,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa474…61babacked Iga Swiatek80c1,552$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.383979.5%31 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick71cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cee…3f91backed Maria Sakkari7c1,506$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1019824.5%24 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Maria Sakkari21c1,404$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.6730131.9%96 W · 205 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Iga Swiatek80c1,338$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.5865558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc400…f991backed Iga Swiatek77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.73354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ae…f471backed Iga Swiatek80c1,256$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.231464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Iga Swiatek80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25044754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7cc…b660backed Maria Sakkari3c1,200$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.27017.1%12 W · 58 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Maria Sakkari18c1,118$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.267,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Maria Sakkari19c1,100$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20946932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Iga Swiatek71c1,064$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.692347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e5…1809backed Iga Swiatek80c1,050$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2102466.7%16 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Maria Sakkari29c1,004$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.656,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Maria Sakkari19c1,000$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1854,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bcc…84c1backed Maria Sakkari30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010341.7%43 W · 60 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Maria Sakkari20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20054138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Maria Sakkari21c954.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023429.9%70 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Maria Sakkari21c941.18$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.4795846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Maria Sakkari19c893.06$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.8666139.3%260 W · 401 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Maria Sakkari31c861.12$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.8511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ae5…f4cabacked Maria Sakkari8c701.73$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.135824.1%14 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Maria Sakkari25c690.93$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.674,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Maria Sakkari33c636.87$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21024438.9%95 W · 149 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Maria Sakkari21c621.2$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.2459348.9%290 W · 303 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Maria Sakkari19c600$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11612322%27 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Iga Swiatek80c577.84$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.573164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa99…f152backed Iga Swiatek68c569$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.2573458.6%430 W · 304 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9db8…4392backed Maria Sakkari37c564.11$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.565250%26 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Maria Sakkari4c546.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.175113.7%7 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-36%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Maria Sakkari13c535.71$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe70d…dd35backed Iga Swiatek80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002975.9%22 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Iga Swiatek80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10026541.9%111 W · 154 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Maria Sakkari20c497.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c97…20c7backed Maria Sakkari29c492.17$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.24100%0 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6a32…9f40backed Maria Sakkari15c473.08$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2822949.8%114 W · 115 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Maria Sakkari32c469.69$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15098240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Iga Swiatek79c426.76$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6229461.9%182 W · 112 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Maria Sakkari20c424.8$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9640744%179 W · 228 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc03c…3138backed Iga Swiatek78c377.99$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.164742.6%20 W · 27 L-7.7wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-32%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Maria Sakkari20c375$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7531643%136 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb20…40a6backed Iga Swiatek79c344.99$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x471c…3b43backed Maria Sakkari6c336.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017549.7%87 W · 88 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e79…54d2backed Maria Sakkari5c335.79$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163122.6%7 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Maria Sakkari20c333$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.628552.3%149 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Maria Sakkari8c331.08$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.056,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Maria Sakkari21c324$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.871,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Maria Sakkari38c312.65$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8160943.3%264 W · 345 L-24.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70a2…6abebacked Maria Sakkari32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003534.3%12 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Maria Sakkari21c312$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5220336%73 W · 130 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Iga Swiatek71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.3525355.7%141 W · 112 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Maria Sakkari20c289.94$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9929063.8%185 W · 105 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1f5…e4c2backed Iga Swiatek75c266.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.719244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ac…f01cbacked Maria Sakkari21c266.67$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Maria Sakkari21c263.52$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0818133.1%60 W · 121 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Maria Sakkari5c256.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.171,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb0fd…642cbacked Iga Swiatek80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509365.6%61 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61ad…915dbacked Iga Swiatek80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503767.6%25 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Maria Sakkari21c247.62$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5236038.9%140 W · 220 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Maria Sakkari20c246.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.851,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Maria Sakkari13c245.69$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.598,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Maria Sakkari20c243.75$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7590340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7579…1d44backed Maria Sakkari21c233.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Maria Sakkari24c233$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4237342.6%159 W · 214 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Iga Swiatek67c231.58$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.5371857.7%414 W · 304 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1855…32bcbacked Maria Sakkari28c209.41$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.58922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Maria Sakkari20c206.1$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.186835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Iga Swiatek80c192$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.496755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Iga Swiatek69c190$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.970465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a1e…21a1backed Iga Swiatek80c188.08$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6212765.4%83 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Maria Sakkari26c175$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.799044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e9b…f5b5backed Maria Sakkari20c165.62$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Maria Sakkari19c163.32$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.451,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Iga Swiatek70c160$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.52,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Maria Sakkari25c153$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6973745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcb9…f39abacked Iga Swiatek67c148.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6960661.2%371 W · 235 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Iga Swiatek76c145.67$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6784968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Iga Swiatek69c145.42$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.422,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44e8…1871backed Iga Swiatek80c143.75$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.75875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Maria Sakkari21c142.68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.961,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Maria Sakkari23c140.42$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.989,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Iga Swiatek75c140$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.41,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0121…f82cbacked Maria Sakkari20c138.2$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.644030%12 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.