Music · resolved market
Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b990da99944b9d1dd29adbbeb254a58fc7fa835b5006305b914618dc0b697e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $197,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $216,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeadf…7157backed No | 2c | 5,200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x396e…f075backed No | 2c | 5,075$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f0…790abacked No | 51c | 2,496$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66c…4ab1backed No | 1c | 2,357$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0522…02f4backed Yes | 11c | 2,276$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +78%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa428…40c6backed No | 61c | 1,972$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.31 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes | 16c | 1,886$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8155…5377backed Yes | 17c | 1,774$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +492%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89a7…e7dbbacked Yes | 8c | 1,708$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.69 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12e5…f00cbacked No | 20c | 1,521$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…e84dbacked No | 33c | 1,514$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd896…c6bfbacked No | 58c | 1,339$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.17 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b0…a994backed Yes | 23c | 1,297$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7443…f7aebacked Yes | 8c | 1,259$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +319.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…1fa7backed No | 75c | 1,230$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7db…95babacked No | 8c | 1,104$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…e4debacked No | 8c | 1,087$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc36…827abacked No | 8c | 1,060$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f4…b7bbbacked No | 8c | 1,055$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked No | 2c | 1,021$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 147 | 8.2%12 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2386…1722backed Yes | 51c | 914.09$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.48 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec3a…a709backed No | 6c | 906.09$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…bfcdbacked No | 9c | 895$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e5…4669backed No | 9c | 887$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b9…0371backed Yes | 48c | 866.18$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…cc38backed No | 8c | 850$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 72c | 848.23$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.04 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x970c…376dbacked No | 8c | 761$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80c2…561cbacked No | 8c | 700$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Yes | 53c | 699.99$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.73 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 43c | 690.1$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.23 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 14c | 638.14$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.1 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…13e4backed No | 8c | 608$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…ea7dbacked No | 8c | 605$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb798…7030backed Yes | 34c | 603.24$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 7c | 589.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc2…f578backed No | 8c | 562$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 50c | 517.53$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.29 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8885…5792backed No | 18c | 450$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…0150backed No | 3c | 420$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 7c | 419.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | -6.7wins | -0.16per pick | 21cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…0703backed No | 8c | 340$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…7b55backed No | 30c | 334.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d4…0be8backed Yes | 20c | 329.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 27cpaid | +248%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked No | 14c | 313.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f9…7a94backed No | 15c | 313.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 9c | 309.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.99 | 105 | 17.1%18 W · 87 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 67c | 309$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.43 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…7f21backed Yes | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 6c | 299.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 36 | 5.6%2 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc934…5551backed No | 17c | 275$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 5c | 264.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa71a…0970backed Yes | 40c | 259.47$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255f…c6d4backed Yes | 41c | 251.49$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 7c | 243$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1eb…e7e5backed Yes | 17c | 228.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +501.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffdb…c445backed Yes | 42c | 221.63$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x184e…852bbacked Yes | 66c | 218.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…413dbacked No | 62c | 210.63$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed No | 16c | 210.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 23cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 6c | 202.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 6cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d29…80b4backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…305bbacked Yes | 34c | 200$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +198.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 41c | 199.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.15 | 391 | 16.1%63 W · 328 L | -44.4wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…ca9cbacked Yes | 61c | 195.91$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 75c | 194.8$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.93 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4169…98e9backed No | 14c | 192.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6335…ca2bbacked No | 15c | 155.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 14c | 153.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…8646backed Yes | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e9…8856backed Yes | 31c | 141.94$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf454…8750backed Yes | 72c | 139.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c94…e048backed Yes | 27c | 134.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…e31bbacked Yes | 76c | 131.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3be…e143backed Yes | 29c | 126.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x137a…636dbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…c2b6backed Yes | 66c | 125$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked No | 12c | 120.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 65c | 119$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…2e00backed No | 62c | 113.63$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.86 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 36c | 108.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…e543backed Yes | 15c | 105.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…8ed2backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9f…6630backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 78c | 98.75$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.65 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…43fabacked Yes | 24c | 79.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4f…1c03backed Yes | 80c | 78.75$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc0…8100backed No | 20c | 73.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea24…51d0backed Yes | 48c | 73.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 37c | 70$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9b…c57abacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c2…85a2backed Yes | 44c | 67.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb19e…b2edbacked Yes | 29c | 65.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +246.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…0212backed Yes | 28c | 65.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e25…266cbacked Yes | 19c | 61.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 33c | 57.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3810…daeebacked Yes | 49c | 50.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f66…4bacbacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff2…9258backed Yes | 22c | 45.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?this page
- Will "Die With A Smile - Lady Gaga, Bruno Mars" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?No won
- Will "I Just Might - Bruno Mars" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?No won
- Will "Lush Life - Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?No won
- Will "Man I Need - Olivia Dean" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?No won
- Will "So Easy (To Fall In Love) - Olivia Dean" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?No won
- Will "The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?No won
- Will "back to friends - sombr" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.