NBA · resolved market

Spread: Thunder (-7.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb02a8d3bb8f249272997fbe8fe1c276f47ca2eae119dc5e6ac0e501d7624d24

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Thunderof Thunder, Nuggets
Resolved: Feb 2, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,807,602
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,807,984

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,807,602 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed Thunder	48c	950,595$458,821 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$491,774.03	100	49%49 W · 51 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6211…b89ebacked Nuggets	53c	481,463$253,249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253,249.2	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Thunder	48c	447,828$214,958 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232,870.71	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Nuggets	52c	338,102$175,813 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175,813.17	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Nuggets	51c	249,424$127,206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127,206.34	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder	49c	160,346$79,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81,305.62	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Nuggets	51c	150,000$76,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76,500	518	44.4%230 W · 288 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Nuggets	51c	93,517$47,702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47,701.58	89	61.8%55 W · 34 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Nuggets	50c	79,795$40,097 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,097.34	603	51.4%310 W · 293 L	+16.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets	51c	71,859$36,488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36,488.39	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Thunder	49c	62,500$30,625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,874.98	404	46.8%189 W · 215 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Nuggets	52c	39,000$20,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,280	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets	51c	24,629$12,452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,452.28	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Nuggets	51c	13,169$6,716 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,716.28	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Nuggets	52c	10,019$5,210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,209.81	76	40.8%31 W · 45 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Nuggets	53c	10,000$5,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,250	185	47%87 W · 98 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Nuggets	49c	10,000$4,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,900	153	49%75 W · 78 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x713d…53a9backed Nuggets	53c	10,000$5,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,300	181	51.4%93 W · 88 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Thunder	51c	9,800$4,998 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,802	172	49.4%85 W · 87 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5227…f9bdbacked Thunder	50c	9,000$4,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,500	102	52.9%54 W · 48 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Nuggets	50c	8,000$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Thunder	51c	7,844$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,844.05	208	49.5%103 W · 105 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Nuggets	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	579	50.1%290 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Thunder	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,500	105	53.3%56 W · 49 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Thunder	47c	4,894$2,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,593.62	416	49.8%207 W · 209 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Thunder	47c	4,213$1,980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,232.77	334	47.9%160 W · 174 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Thunder	56c	4,072$2,278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,794.01	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Thunder	49c	4,000$1,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,040	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Nuggets	52c	4,000$2,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,080	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Nuggets	52c	3,800$1,976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,976	339	45.1%153 W · 186 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Nuggets	53c	3,779$2,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,003.12	245	49%120 W · 125 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d4…0a6abacked Thunder	48c	3,311$1,588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,722.4	67	56.7%38 W · 29 L	+5.3wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Nuggets	52c	3,091$1,608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,607.52	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Thunder	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,500	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Thunder	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,500	461	45.6%210 W · 251 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Thunder	49c	3,000$1,470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,530	191	47.6%91 W · 100 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Nuggets	53c	2,830$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Thunder	49c	2,538$1,249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,288.95	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Nuggets	50c	2,500$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250	125	47.2%59 W · 66 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Thunder	47c	2,500$1,175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,325	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed Nuggets	49c	2,500$1,225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,224.96	117	53%62 W · 55 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Thunder	47c	2,340$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,240.42	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Nuggets	50c	2,262$1,131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,130.88	398	42.5%169 W · 229 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nuggets	11c	2,259$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x098b…1fa5backed Thunder	47c	2,250$1,058 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,192.5	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Nuggets	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Nuggets	53c	1,887$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	591	40.8%241 W · 350 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Nuggets	53c	1,887$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	266	40.2%107 W · 159 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked Thunder	47c	1,811$851 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$959.64	140	61.4%86 W · 54 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Nuggets	50c	1,500$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	762	49.5%377 W · 385 L	-8.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Nuggets	51c	1,450$746 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$745.99	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x73a0…610ebacked Thunder	47c	1,277$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$676.6	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b9…d142backed Thunder	47c	1,170$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$620.1	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets	52c	1,156$601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$601.05	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder	47c	1,150$544 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$605.58	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Thunder	49c	1,122$553 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$568.88	530	43.8%232 W · 298 L	-25.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Nuggets	18c	1,117$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	332	46.1%153 W · 179 L	-12.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1c0…427bbacked Nuggets	52c	1,075$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.03	184	46.2%85 W · 99 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f82…9ae1backed Nuggets	53c	1,038$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	120	48.3%58 W · 62 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Nuggets	25c	1,012$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253	448	21.4%96 W · 352 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Nuggets	51c	1,010$511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$511.11	419	47.7%200 W · 219 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Nuggets	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	477	48.8%233 W · 244 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Nuggets	51c	999.98$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.99	320	51.9%166 W · 154 L	+10.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Nuggets	49c	999.9$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.95	329	57.4%189 W · 140 L	+18.5wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae8c…93cdbacked Thunder	51c	980.39$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.39	83	47%39 W · 44 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Thunder	49c	979.59$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$499.59	219	43.4%95 W · 124 L	-12.7wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Thunder	48c	957.2$459 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$497.74	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Nuggets	53c	943.4$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Thunder	48c	913$441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$471.87	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Thunder	50c	870.22$433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$436.75	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a33…d0e2backed Thunder	59c	854.3$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$354.3	54	68.5%37 W · 17 L	+9.4wins	+0.17per pick	51cpaid	+30%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Nuggets	51c	854.23$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.66	589	51.3%302 W · 287 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Thunder	47c	824.09$387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$436.77	238	50%119 W · 119 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Nuggets	50c	705.16$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.58	547	47.5%260 W · 287 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x705d…3438backed Nuggets	51c	699.99$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.98	75	44%33 W · 42 L	+5.1wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ef7…3eb0backed Thunder	49c	669.45$328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$341.46	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x497a…650fbacked Thunder	57c	540.39$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.4	64	43.8%28 W · 36 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked Thunder	48c	500$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	125	43.2%54 W · 71 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Nuggets	52c	495$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.75	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Nuggets	52c	490.2$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.9	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Nuggets	53c	426.42$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226	323	46.4%150 W · 173 L	-8.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Thunder	48c	416.67$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.67	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8076…2f96backed Thunder	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+4.1wins	+0.31per pick	46cpaid	+68%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x48c8…72a4backed Nuggets	52c	392.54$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.12	94	43.6%41 W · 53 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Nuggets	51c	389.99$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.9	206	51%105 W · 101 L	+7.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets	49c	371.42$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.69	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f72…0841backed Nuggets	50c	358.66$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.33	102	55.9%57 W · 45 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Nuggets	53c	350$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.5	244	42.6%104 W · 140 L	-17.8wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Thunder	50c	328.91$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.92	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Nuggets	42c	327.27$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.45	282	41.1%116 W · 166 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Nuggets	51c	302.56$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.43	260	34.6%90 W · 170 L	-20.6wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Thunder	50c	293.94$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.03	201	49.8%100 W · 101 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Nuggets	50c	281$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.55	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8ba…068dbacked Thunder	49c	280.37$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.99	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Nuggets	17c	276$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.7	476	51.7%246 W · 230 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Thunder	70c	266.74$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x137e…20d7backed Thunder	49c	239.08$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.21	150	40%60 W · 90 L	-14.1wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8aab…8d40backed Thunder	49c	239.08$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.21	164	43.9%72 W · 92 L	-9.4wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee4f…c0f0backed Nuggets	53c	226.42$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	67	50.7%34 W · 33 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Thunder	48c	220.49$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.66	279	43%120 W · 159 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Thunder (-7.5)this page
1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
Jaylin Williams: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 10.5No won
Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 25.5No won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 32.5Yes won
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
Thunder vs. NuggetsThunder won
Thunder vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineThunder won
Thunder vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5Over won
Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 223.5Over won
Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 224.5Over won
Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 225.5Over won
Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 226.5Over won
Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 227.5Over won
Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Thunder (-7.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event