TailMyPicks

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College Football · resolved market

Central Michigan vs. Kent State Golden Flashes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Central Michiganof Central Michigan, Kent State Golden Flashes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$296,834
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$300,078

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $296,834 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2232…f6fabacked Central Michigan79c43,895$34,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,246.763250%16 W · 16 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-28.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Kent State Golden Flashes27c40,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,80012055%66 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Central Michigan75c33,000$24,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,25019362.2%120 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Central Michigan75c26,891$20,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,722.732745.6%149 W · 178 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Kent State Golden Flashes26c20,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.992737%10 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-30.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Kent State Golden Flashes25c12,100$3,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,02593548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Kent State Golden Flashes25c11,700$2,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,92511851.7%61 W · 57 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Kent State Golden Flashes26c10,463$2,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,720.3881847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Kent State Golden Flashes15c10,197$1,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,564.9917443.7%76 W · 98 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Central Michigan75c9,970$7,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,492.527246%125 W · 147 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Kent State Golden Flashes26c9,521$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,475.3815352.3%80 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Kent State Golden Flashes24c8,504$2,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,061742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kent State Golden Flashes18c8,197$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.8758850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Central Michigan73c7,786$5,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,113.012,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8058…d023backed Kent State Golden Flashes26c5,985$1,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,576.085141.2%21 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kent State Golden Flashes10c5,547$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.0140244.8%180 W · 222 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kent State Golden Flashes10c5,293$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.8486243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Kent State Golden Flashes0c4,831$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.91490%0 W · 49 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kent State Golden Flashes25c4,800$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20014752.4%77 W · 70 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e6c…d4dabacked Kent State Golden Flashes26c4,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a30…b575backed Kent State Golden Flashes25c4,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Central Michigan73c3,909$2,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.0829249%143 W · 149 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kent State Golden Flashes27c3,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81038142.5%162 W · 219 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3909…335fbacked Central Michigan75c3,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7780…f218backed Kent State Golden Flashes25c3,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-52%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3958…bf10backed Kent State Golden Flashes25c3,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Central Michigan73c2,651$1,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.529457.4%54 W · 40 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Central Michigan74c2,622$1,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.152449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Kent State Golden Flashes25c2,500$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6256731.3%21 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7784…5b6dbacked Central Michigan73c2,150$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…67cdbacked Central Michigan74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24b1…5163backed Central Michigan74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+31%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Kent State Golden Flashes25c1,800$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45034529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Kent State Golden Flashes13c1,687$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.5254243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Kent State Golden Flashes10c1,600$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.9417837.6%67 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Kent State Golden Flashes26c1,362$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.437133.8%24 W · 47 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Central Michigan75c1,338$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.087146.5%33 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Kent State Golden Flashes26c1,317$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.0565945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa359…e803backed Kent State Golden Flashes12c1,259$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531030%3 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Central Michigan75c1,203$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.2610742.1%45 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Kent State Golden Flashes25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30047131.4%148 W · 323 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Kent State Golden Flashes23c1,190$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.3628440.8%116 W · 168 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8d9…753abacked Kent State Golden Flashes25c999.98$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdefe…bdb8backed Kent State Golden Flashes25c999.95$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c8…f2efbacked Central Michigan75c742.67$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.672356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df0…9edabacked Central Michigan75c666.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2267…58afbacked Central Michigan75c666.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.67977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+59.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Central Michigan74c633.98$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.8350358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf45…ea2cbacked Central Michigan76c626.96$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c74…76d8backed Kent State Golden Flashes26c615.38$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-49%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Kent State Golden Flashes13c600$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7838546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Central Michigan73c595$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.6526147.9%125 W · 136 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Central Michigan75c533.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3317946.9%84 W · 95 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Kent State Golden Flashes25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12513242.4%56 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Kent State Golden Flashes25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1258043.8%35 W · 45 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd87…dd8bbacked Kent State Golden Flashes6c449.98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274411.4%5 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Central Michigan77c435.06$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.06450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61d0…1d86backed Kent State Golden Flashes7c415$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.25238.5%20 W · 32 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1e8…fdd3backed Kent State Golden Flashes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a9c…45e0backed Kent State Golden Flashes10c399.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed Kent State Golden Flashes26c390.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005724.6%14 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Kent State Golden Flashes9c378.25$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.02850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dfe…9ff6backed Central Michigan76c315.79$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.791080%8 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Kent State Golden Flashes16c289$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1968440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Central Michigan76c263.83$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.32540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x216a…9380backed Central Michigan79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc557…e530backed Kent State Golden Flashes12c217.16$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.551866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Kent State Golden Flashes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5042244.5%188 W · 234 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Central Michigan73c193.64$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.283100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x205f…0189backed Central Michigan76c171.05$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.051546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kent State Golden Flashes14c161.49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6740541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c36…9433backed Central Michigan75c160$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f27…781dbacked Central Michigan76c157.89$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.89683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick77cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55f1…84c0backed Kent State Golden Flashes24c150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick32cpaid+86.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13ec…d899backed Central Michigan76c150$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3771…692dbacked Central Michigan75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick70cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf491…2b48backed Central Michigan75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332254.5%12 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x396f…6e1ebacked Central Michigan75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x614b…5845backed Central Michigan76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.581361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec9…b2dabacked Central Michigan76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3896…899fbacked Central Michigan76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Kent State Golden Flashes27c130$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.129351.9%152 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Kent State Golden Flashes19c119.48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.199124.2%22 W · 69 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-48.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61f7…4030backed Kent State Golden Flashes26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-40.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Kent State Golden Flashes26c109.17$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3149443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9334…32dabacked Central Michigan76c105.26$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2618868.1%128 W · 60 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick69cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Kent State Golden Flashes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2847331.5%149 W · 324 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7901…ee9ebacked Kent State Golden Flashes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa58…a0c4backed Central Michigan75c94.67$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1b0…53c3backed Central Michigan75c93.95$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.49475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7087…85bfbacked Central Michigan76c87.61$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.611266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf071…cbcbbacked Kent State Golden Flashes13c85.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.931631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-36.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dfd…0d00backed Central Michigan76c83.66$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.661283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab50…8f27backed Central Michigan76c83.66$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.661163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick74cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6fd…b1e4backed Central Michigan76c81.07$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.07988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick73cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6564…7246backed Central Michigan76c81.05$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.058100%8 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1f0…baa4backed Kent State Golden Flashes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5e1…9897backed Central Michigan75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201485.7%12 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick74cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8deb…d8e2backed Kent State Golden Flashes13c77.24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b9e…40a5backed Central Michigan73c75.02$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.025867.2%39 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.