College Football · resolved market
Spread: Central Michigan (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa1577c04a7ef1a3b01b2565332b2ad06451aafcf5dfcdd3a8dc069a48e13c4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Central Michiganof Central Michigan, Kent State Golden Flashes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,529
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,529 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Central Michigan | 48c | 40,893$19,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,273.12 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 52c | 39,203$20,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,302.31 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Central Michigan | 50c | 7,642$3,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,821 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Central Michigan | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Central Michigan | 46c | 5,085$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,744.85 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 54c | 5,024$2,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,712.86 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 52c | 4,947$2,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,572.44 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 50c | 4,124$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.53 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 49c | 1,629$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.74 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Central Michigan | 51c | 1,475$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.51 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…eeccbacked Central Michigan | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed Central Michigan | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068f…4594backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Central Michigan | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 50c | 89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Central Michigan | 51c | 54.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Central Michigan | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Central Michigan | 48c | 41.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed Central Michigan | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Central Michigan | 50c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8acd…664abacked Central Michigan | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb22f…3a1abacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Central Michigan (-8.5)this page
- Central Michigan vs. Kent State Golden FlashesCentral Michigan won
- Central Michigan vs. Kent State Golden Flashes: O/U 48.5Under won
- Central Michigan vs. Kent State Golden Flashes: O/U 49.5Under won
- Central Michigan vs. Kent State Golden Flashes: O/U 50.5Under won
- Spread: Central Michigan (-7.5)Central Michigan won
- Spread: Central Michigan (-9.5)Central Michigan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.