TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Spread: Central Michigan (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Central Michiganof Central Michigan, Kent State Golden Flashes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,202
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,505

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,202 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Central Michigan49c21,181$10,379 inWon+$10,802.3152449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Kent State Golden Flashes51c20,000$10,200 inLost-$10,20011553%61 W · 54 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Kent State Golden Flashes50c4,562$2,281 inLost-$2,281.193548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Central Michigan50c4,000$2,000 inWon+$2,0005152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Central Michigan48c3,000$1,440 inWon+$1,56010848.1%52 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kent State Golden Flashes52c3,000$1,560 inLost-$1,56038142.5%162 W · 219 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kent State Golden Flashes51c2,413$1,230 inLost-$1,230.452,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Central Michigan49c612$300 inWon+$312.1217361.3%106 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9083…622ebacked Central Michigan50c484$242 inWon+$242785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick69cpaid+31.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c36…9433backed Central Michigan49c306.12$150 inWon+$156.12757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Central Michigan49c163.27$80 inWon+$83.2730253%160 W · 142 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked Kent State Golden Flashes51c100$51 inLost-$514940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Central Michigan49c100$49 inWon+$513641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Central Michigan49c100$49 inWon+$5111354.9%62 W · 51 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Central Michigan50c50$25 inWon+$256152.5%32 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ee…eab7backed Central Michigan50c28.2$14 inWon+$14.1560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+35.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.