Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Green Bay Phoenix vs. Cleveland State Vikings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4cd115ca68719754ba02e879fc9c220ed9ea73d3d599183617ad3e6a8335dcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Green Bay Phoenixof Green Bay Phoenix, Cleveland State Vikings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Green Bay Phoenix | 53c | 2,836$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.4 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cleveland State Vikings | 23c | 1,252$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.58 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Cleveland State Vikings | 40c | 1,196$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cleveland State Vikings | 29c | 1,049$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.58 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 46c | 713.78$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.23 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Green Bay Phoenix | 62c | 678.38$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.78 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cleveland State Vikings | 34c | 554.34$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.77 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 61c | 525.99$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.31 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Cleveland State Vikings | 32c | 521.46$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.86 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Green Bay Phoenix | 61c | 423.49$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.51 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Green Bay Phoenix | 62c | 280.94$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.06 | 164 | 45.1%74 W · 90 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 27c | 256.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Cleveland State Vikings | 26c | 237.38$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.26 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Cleveland State Vikings | 42c | 235.71$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cleveland State Vikings | 37c | 206.16$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.32 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cleveland State Vikings | 39c | 176.18$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.83 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 39c | 168.2$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Green Bay Phoenix | 60c | 162$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Cleveland State Vikings | 9c | 153.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Cleveland State Vikings | 35c | 149.78$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Green Bay Phoenix | 61c | 110$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Cleveland State Vikings | 39c | 103.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Cleveland State Vikings | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Green Bay Phoenix | 63c | 95.79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Cleveland State Vikings | 40c | 72.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Green Bay Phoenix | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 38c | 69.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…aeb0backed Green Bay Phoenix | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef4…ff55backed Cleveland State Vikings | 17c | 64.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Green Bay Phoenix | 62c | 55.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Green Bay Phoenix | 49c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bf…5d96backed Green Bay Phoenix | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Green Bay Phoenix | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 41c | 48.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cleveland State Vikings | 40c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Green Bay Phoenix | 63c | 42.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…58fcbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…fdb3backed Green Bay Phoenix | 62c | 39.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa22f…604cbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…e43ebacked Green Bay Phoenix | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd363…e6d1backed Green Bay Phoenix | 66c | 38.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Green Bay Phoenix | 51c | 30.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d70…f83fbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 61c | 28.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Green Bay Phoenix | 66c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e20…b6b5backed Green Bay Phoenix | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Green Bay Phoenix vs. Cleveland State Vikingsthis page
- Green Bay Phoenix vs. Cleveland State Vikings: O/U 149.5Over won
- Spread: Green Bay Phoenix (-3.5)Green Bay Phoenix won
- Spread: Green Bay Phoenix (-4.5)Green Bay Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.