TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Monmouth Hawks vs. Hampton Pirates: O/U 135.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$862,291
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$880,263

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $862,291 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over53c632,140$333,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333,077.1835945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under47c300,015$141,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159,007.8421754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under48c150,000$72,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,00069142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under47c124,777$58,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,131.839860.2%59 W · 39 L+9.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under48c110,000$52,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,699.9821262.3%132 W · 80 L+34.7wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Over53c75,000$39,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,7504047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Under50c35,405$17,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,702.6512754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over50c25,596$12,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,815.833745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe248…f293backed Over50c22,500$11,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,249.9878155.6%434 W · 347 L+38.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Under47c20,000$9,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,60013649.3%67 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over52c12,700$6,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,603.310441.3%43 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Under50c12,319$6,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,159.58747.1%41 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,30042246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c8,019$3,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,034.525,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Under50c6,040$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,039.7514654.1%79 W · 67 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5505160.8%31 W · 20 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+32.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Under49c4,052$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,052.3225556.1%143 W · 112 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002532%8 W · 17 L-4.7wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-34.4%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c3,397$1,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,718.9712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Over51c2,826$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.2928539.6%113 W · 172 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c2,346$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.384,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Under49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.8218548.6%90 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00035452.3%185 W · 169 L+17.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Over52c1,905$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.496445.3%29 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b49…d0dfbacked Under50c1,776$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.153063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Under48c1,750$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.0416954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Under49c1,368$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.1618650%93 W · 93 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Over49c1,210$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.7939744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a89…196fbacked Under49c1,143$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.864858.3%28 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f91…40adbacked Under51c1,113$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.534055%22 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.825143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2107…8f4cbacked Under50c989.51$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.513043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under50c895.22$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.2215447.4%73 W · 81 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadec…88fdbacked Over52c824.97$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.986144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Under62c819.48$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.485959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x212b…92c3backed Under50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over52c749.91$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.9555749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68e4…00bdbacked Under51c700$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Over51c638$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.3832146.7%150 W · 171 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31214150.4%71 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under48c595.39$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.613154.2%71 W · 60 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Under49c510.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.22462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x131e…3343backed Under49c510.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.23158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda12…38d6backed Over52c476.19$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.622948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6a6…a6d3backed Under51c469.01$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.012871.4%20 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under49c439.99$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.86159%36 W · 25 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Under49c408.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.5926749.1%131 W · 136 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8f9…fee2backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.5wins-0.32per pick50cpaid-66.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2005560%33 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed Under50c398$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19913444%59 W · 75 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Under49c394.95$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.4211159.5%66 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Under51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1613851.4%71 W · 67 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bb6…735cbacked Over52c380.94$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.094344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Under50c350$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1759551.6%49 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over7c345.41$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1332751.7%169 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under49c300.01$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.018750.6%44 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+40.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Under49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15316755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15011946.2%55 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38fc…33e2backed Under51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.121471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+44.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c264.92$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1373,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Over52c249.2$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.479440.4%38 W · 56 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Under51c241.63$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.45154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over50c231$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.3935050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Over50c224.12$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.5741354%223 W · 190 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3319657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over50c200$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9914151.1%72 W · 69 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Under51c200$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9915156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1007661.8%47 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e07…80d1backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8025…c036backed Under49c199.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.991926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-45.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb2ca…0ac2backed Under74c199.93$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.341888.9%16 W · 2 L+6.9wins+0.38per pick50cpaid+106.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x135c…0c80backed Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.082657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e11…45ecbacked Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a93…32a0backed Under50c175$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick37cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over9c174.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.493,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over52c164.4$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.91,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under49c150$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7789146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Under50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7521443.9%94 W · 120 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ea…066ebacked Under51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.57957%45 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.519848%95 W · 103 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b2…1950backed Over52c131.38$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.327450%37 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under50c130$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6523754.9%130 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6299…dd7dbacked Over53c127$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.173043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22f6…6a9bbacked Under49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.452142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c8e…22c3backed Under50c120.57$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.576648.5%32 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over50c119.02$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3697447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d81…20c3backed Under50c118.82$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.821668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+32.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x79df…277ebacked Under51c118.04$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.046154.1%33 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Over51c117.84$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc82a…cc74backed Over52c115.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba69…b2debacked Under49c114.71$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.54951%25 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Under48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1718656.5%105 W · 81 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over47c104.08$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4944146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe35b…84ffbacked Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.04683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+76.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under48c100.75$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3917258.7%101 W · 71 L+14.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Under50c100.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.428452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.86653%35 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8214…ef72backed Under51c98.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0319446.4%90 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.