TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Monmouth Hawks vs. Hampton Pirates

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hampton Piratesof Monmouth Hawks, Hampton Pirates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,511
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,021

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,511 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hampton Pirates54c2,424$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.224,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Hampton Pirates54c1,997$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.0224451.2%125 W · 119 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hampton Pirates52c1,757$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.542,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Monmouth Hawks46c1,508$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.8112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Monmouth Hawks48c1,458$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7003943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Monmouth Hawks45c1,162$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.852,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Monmouth Hawks46c901.35$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.6199045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed Monmouth Hawks54c800.14$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.1618654.3%101 W · 85 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Monmouth Hawks46c764$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.441,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Monmouth Hawks51c716.5$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.335,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Hampton Pirates49c658.32$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.752,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hampton Pirates49c514.14$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.761,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Monmouth Hawks46c449$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.5411747.9%56 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed Monmouth Hawks48c414.59$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19913444%59 W · 75 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Monmouth Hawks46c373.5$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.8175447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hampton Pirates55c340$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1531,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Hampton Pirates55c271.09$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.622,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Monmouth Hawks48c270.83$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13079448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Hampton Pirates53c264.06$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.031,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Hampton Pirates52c197.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.735050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Monmouth Hawks48c189.51$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9652928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Hampton Pirates53c180.31$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.8481453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Monmouth Hawks47c169$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.195,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Hampton Pirates64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2518167.4%122 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Hampton Pirates62c139$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7522050.5%111 W · 109 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70c8…006cbacked Hampton Pirates55c117.66$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6614062.9%88 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Monmouth Hawks31c110.51$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.941,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x725f…cea7backed Hampton Pirates52c100.13$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.066065%39 W · 21 L+8.6wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+25.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Hampton Pirates58c95.45$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.621,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Monmouth Hawks48c84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3278052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a63…b752backed Hampton Pirates46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Hampton Pirates51c72.72$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.364,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Monmouth Hawks37c69.35$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7270349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Monmouth Hawks49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.51,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeca…8c27backed Hampton Pirates53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.59037.8%34 W · 56 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Monmouth Hawks47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.52,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Hampton Pirates48c46.9$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.183,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x624b…6190backed Hampton Pirates55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.451450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+121.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x640f…4cc0backed Hampton Pirates52c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.62875%21 W · 7 L+6.7wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+54.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x17bf…5a53backed Monmouth Hawks34c42.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.597812.8%10 W · 68 L-17.2wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-78.6%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed Monmouth Hawks48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021746.1%100 W · 117 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Hampton Pirates69c37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.61,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Monmouth Hawks46c35.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5797447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6271…4ac6backed Hampton Pirates47c28.28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.994553.3%24 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcb8…3058backed Hampton Pirates74c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+36.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Monmouth Hawks49c27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.232,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x184f…639ebacked Monmouth Hawks45c23.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.511560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8bd…3fe2backed Hampton Pirates55c23.36$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.51580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.