Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Monmouth Hawks vs. Hampton Pirates: O/U 134.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x876f9ff693ae972de45f7af4e0c81bf7e010c2a67a1054579de14445514e15f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,949.98 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 4,288$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268.38 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 2,767$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.97 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 2,233$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.49 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea1…9569backed Over | 54c | 928.01$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Under | 47c | 468.09$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.09 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Under | 47c | 423.41$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.41 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 210.5$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.06 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 53c | 157.31$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.28 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 152$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.28 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 47c | 122.44$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.21 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…3cdebacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…70f6backed Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…b14cbacked Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 47c | 29.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Under | 47c | 27.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Monmouth Hawks vs. Hampton Pirates: O/U 134.5this page
- Monmouth Hawks vs. Hampton PiratesHampton Pirates won
- Monmouth Hawks vs. Hampton Pirates: O/U 135.5Under won
- Spread: Hampton Pirates (-1.5)Hampton Pirates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.