NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ad37bb016994defcc2fe8e3d23b680de042f77fb15c51e7b9901882edae9b3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $768,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $770,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $768,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 55c | 474,269$259,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214,474.33 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Under | 45c | 400,000$180,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180,000 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 45c | 200,000$90,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,000 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 55c | 199,948$109,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89,976.6 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 32,827$15,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,026.51 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9c…74b3backed Under | 46c | 18,000$8,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,280 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked Over | 56c | 15,000$8,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,540 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 45c | 12,500$5,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,625 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 10,668$5,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,017.29 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 44c | 9,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 53c | 8,075$4,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,764.97 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 6,660$3,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,076.12 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Over | 55c | 5,337$2,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.64 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Over | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Over | 56c | 4,297$2,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.47 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 3,924$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.35 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 46c | 3,838$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.48 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 45c | 3,476$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.2 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 3,374$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.75 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Under | 47c | 3,150$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.5 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Under | 44c | 3,015$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.46 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Over | 56c | 2,941$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.88 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 45c | 2,558$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 45c | 2,310$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.5 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 49c | 1,967$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.68 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 900$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.71 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…e89abacked Over | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Over | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Over | 57c | 771.77$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.86 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 46c | 696$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.48 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 55c | 501$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.45 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 51c | 488$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.12 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75da…fc93backed Over | 56c | 455.36$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.36 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 51c | 450.98$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…7930backed Under | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…e731backed Over | 55c | 408.01$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 46c | 404.13$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.9 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe92d…bffcbacked Over | 55c | 400.41$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.41 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 372$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.84 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…8d16backed Under | 54c | 368.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6921…2345backed Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -12.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 47c | 344.34$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.59 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 51c | 328.22$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.42 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Under | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Over | 56c | 292.42$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.86 | 166 | 58.4%97 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Over | 53c | 284$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.48 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Under | 45c | 280$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 49c | 259$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.91 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc82a…cc74backed Over | 55c | 254.55$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 45c | 249.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ae…ae58backed Over | 55c | 240.84$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 46c | 240.27$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1147…da78backed Under | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Under | 47c | 211.7$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ba…5435backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 151 | 61.6%93 W · 58 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb248…3652backed Over | 55c | 181.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5abb…f22dbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…6df7backed Over | 55c | 176.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.59 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 48c | 160$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x650a…e30fbacked Over | 56c | 160$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.49 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 52c | 153.02$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.02 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 47c | 141.13$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.17 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 52c | 128$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.56 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9443…dd60backed Over | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c3…be5abacked Over | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 48c | 121.22$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Under | 47c | 119.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 56c | 116.29$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.29 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…bc84backed Over | 56c | 115.44$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 48c | 113.96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed Under | 70c | 110$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 127 | 66.9%85 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 47c | 107.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Over | 55c | 97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x966e…b2febacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6910…8da8backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +112.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 47c | 90$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Over | 57c | 87.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 48c | 84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 48c | 84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Heat won
- Heat vs. ThunderThunder won
- Heat vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5Over won
- Heat vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5Over won
- Heat vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5Over won
- Heat vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Heat won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Heat won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.