NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4adbe40b0d8a64c40b216e55f9c48fc21f35ab7b0d12aa0db92bc82c2e3a174c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Thunder, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Thunder | 53c | 27,777$14,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,824.12 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Heat | 47c | 14,807$6,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,865.88 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Heat | 48c | 6,062$2,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,124.67 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Thunder | 53c | 4,824$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,554.63 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Thunder | 56c | 4,052$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,269.09 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 49c | 3,391$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.19 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Heat | 46c | 3,183$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.86 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…bd7dbacked Thunder | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 55c | 1,736$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.31 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Heat | 45c | 1,610$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.65 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Heat | 62c | 1,300$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9c…74b3backed Heat | 46c | 1,234$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.36 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Thunder | 54c | 1,009$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.86 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b6…ac69backed Thunder | 57c | 964.96$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Heat | 40c | 936.77$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.21 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 58c | 884.84$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.99 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Heat | 47c | 745$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.85 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Heat | 21c | 727$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.33 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Thunder | 49c | 700$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Heat | 47c | 626$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.78 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Heat | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Heat | 61c | 494.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.43 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Heat | 49c | 405.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.02 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Heat | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad44…db14backed Heat | 50c | 302$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Heat | 22c | 281.01$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.19 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Thunder | 54c | 275$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Thunder | 49c | 249.9$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Heat | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 293 | 46.4%136 W · 157 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…a994backed Thunder | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…583fbacked Heat | 56c | 175$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Heat | 47c | 160$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Heat | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Heat | 47c | 150$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 55c | 145$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.33 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Thunder | 57c | 144.52$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Thunder | 51c | 136.04$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…3d34backed Thunder | 40c | 129$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Thunder | 35c | 119.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 263 | 39.5%104 W · 159 L | -13.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Thunder | 56c | 109.02$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Heat | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…88e1backed Heat | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Heat | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Heat | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Heat | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Thunder | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…97dfbacked Thunder | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Heat | 49c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Heat | 47c | 84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Heat | 47c | 84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Heat | 47c | 84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Thunder | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Heat | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3187…896dbacked Heat | 46c | 79.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f7…3ea6backed Heat | 49c | 75.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Heat | 48c | 75.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Heat | 53c | 67.92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Heat | 47c | 66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Heat | 47c | 66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Thunder | 53c | 63.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…981dbacked Thunder | 52c | 61.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Heat | 23c | 60.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Heat | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Heat | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Heat | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Thunder | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Heat | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Heat | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Heat | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…9b10backed Thunder | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Thunder | 37c | 49.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Thunder | 50c | 46.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Heat | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Thunder | 54c | 42.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Heat | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Heat | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Heat | 47c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Heat | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Heat | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Heat | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Heat | 47c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 237 | 53.6%127 W · 110 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Heat | 47c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Heat | 47c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Heat | 47c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Heat | 47c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Heat | 47c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74f…c23ebacked Thunder | 54c | 31.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Heat | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 252 | 50.8%128 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Heat | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Heat | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Thunder | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Heat | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 245 | 52.7%129 W · 116 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Heat | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Heat | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Heat | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Heat | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Heat | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Heat | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Heat | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Heat | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Heat won
- Heat vs. ThunderThunder won
- Heat vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5Over won
- Heat vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5Over won
- Heat vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5Over won
- Heat vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5Over won
- Heat vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Heat won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.