Tennis · resolved market
ATP Cincinnati - Sinner vs. Alcaraz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2871935578e860f4c2fd6ba7384fa583c1f09bca77a0d85096c2a0a8fc08b771
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alcaraz of Sinner , Alcaraz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Alcaraz | 36c | 13,950$5,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,928 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sinner | 27c | 12,210$3,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,325.68 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Alcaraz | 79c | 9,125$7,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.13 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Sinner | 64c | 8,078$5,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,169.64 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Alcaraz | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x763f…81e9backed Sinner | 65c | 4,615$3,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,012.91 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alcaraz | 68c | 3,883$2,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.67 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…a880backed Alcaraz | 51c | 3,840$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.34 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Sinner | 26c | 2,963$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.74 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Sinner | 5c | 2,292$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.7 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Alcaraz | 55c | 2,049$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.02 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…cb47backed Sinner | 30c | 2,000$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.88 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Alcaraz | 62c | 1,922$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.03 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Sinner | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Alcaraz | 36c | 1,514$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.41 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Sinner | 65c | 1,499$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.6 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Sinner | 26c | 1,470$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Sinner | 39c | 1,443$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.63 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Alcaraz | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.35 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…7cb1backed Alcaraz | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Sinner | 63c | 1,167$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.26 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Alcaraz | 61c | 816.13$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.13 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Alcaraz | 73c | 759.42$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.04 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Alcaraz | 64c | 752.25$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.81 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Sinner | 24c | 650$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Sinner | 65c | 649.54$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32a7…3e01backed Alcaraz | 42c | 628.44$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.78 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Alcaraz | 68c | 612$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.72 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Sinner | 64c | 513.99$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Sinner | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Alcaraz | 35c | 499.99$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.99 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Alcaraz | 35c | 444$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.6 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Alcaraz | 35c | 420$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +9.2wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +2,177.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Alcaraz | 35c | 390.77$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Sinner | 65c | 390.77$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Alcaraz | 36c | 369.71$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.61 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…68a9backed Sinner | 65c | 300.35$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.13 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Alcaraz | 35c | 300$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…63d8backed Sinner | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Sinner | 24c | 295$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.85 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Alcaraz | 37c | 273.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.48 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Alcaraz | 38c | 262.38$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.4 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Sinner | 65c | 250.77$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sinner | 43c | 217.68$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Alcaraz | 34c | 205$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.7 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Alcaraz | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed Sinner | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaef5…a454backed Alcaraz | 36c | 191.67$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Sinner | 24c | 180.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x376f…b234backed Sinner | 51c | 168.78$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aef…9efebacked Alcaraz | 37c | 161.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sinner | 64c | 155.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sinner | 65c | 154.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Alcaraz | 36c | 153.92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.11 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03db…c28bbacked Sinner | 17c | 145$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…5976backed Sinner | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…ccb8backed Sinner | 64c | 120$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…c8dcbacked Alcaraz | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Sinner | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Sinner | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Alcaraz | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Alcaraz | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a53…82b7backed Sinner | 40c | 99.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Sinner | 40c | 97.49$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x862e…a60cbacked Sinner | 35c | 95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Sinner | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +126%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Alcaraz | 36c | 90$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Alcaraz | 36c | 89.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.59 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6288…1bdcbacked Alcaraz | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f7…facbbacked Sinner | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd363…e6d1backed Alcaraz | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…cfecbacked Alcaraz | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Sinner | 45c | 64.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…d47cbacked Alcaraz | 36c | 62.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.09 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Alcaraz | 35c | 59.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.56 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…c5eebacked Sinner | 47c | 50.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…f7a9backed Alcaraz | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…69a8backed Sinner | 65c | 35.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8257…f579backed Sinner | 30c | 34.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…0f46backed Alcaraz | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…6546backed Alcaraz | 36c | 27.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…450abacked Sinner | 64c | 20.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Sinner | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Sinner | 65c | 17.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x646a…7eb2backed Sinner | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.