Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
California Baptist Lancers vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6622f7ad424a748a6d747f0ce6fadae7139b6d007863a40c8d3753b1216f1c16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- California Baptist Lancersof California Baptist Lancers, Abilene Christian Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.99 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked California Baptist Lancers | 46c | 1,909$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.43 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 49c | 1,192$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.15 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 29c | 1,090$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.36 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed California Baptist Lancers | 52c | 962.31$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.31 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 30c | 489.09$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.85 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 50c | 410$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed California Baptist Lancers | 47c | 372.28$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.31 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked California Baptist Lancers | 46c | 366.5$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.91 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 54c | 302.12$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.37 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 51c | 280.01$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.33 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed California Baptist Lancers | 50c | 278.65$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.65 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 20c | 274.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.82 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed California Baptist Lancers | 51c | 262$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.66 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 50c | 220$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed California Baptist Lancers | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed California Baptist Lancers | 46c | 184.76$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.77 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…8c03backed California Baptist Lancers | 50c | 144$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked California Baptist Lancers | 45c | 129.58$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.88 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 53c | 122.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed California Baptist Lancers | 50c | 118$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 42c | 109.72$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked California Baptist Lancers | 40c | 107.14$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.28 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked California Baptist Lancers | 49c | 102.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 48c | 88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 46c | 57.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd8…5c53backed California Baptist Lancers | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed California Baptist Lancers | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed California Baptist Lancers | 65c | 47.7$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 49c | 40.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd363…e6d1backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 65c | 38.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…e43ebacked California Baptist Lancers | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3415…034cbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x254a…7975backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 48c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc16…8505backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85f3…8da0backed California Baptist Lancers | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked California Baptist Lancers | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked California Baptist Lancers | 47c | 23.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 55c | 23.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed California Baptist Lancers | 46c | 22.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…aeb0backed California Baptist Lancers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Abilene Christian Wildcatsthis page
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats: O/U 139.5Under won
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats: O/U 140.5Under won
- Spread: Abilene Christian Wildcats (-2.5)California Baptist Lancers won
- Spread: California Baptist Lancers (-1.5)California Baptist Lancers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.