Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
California Baptist Lancers vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats: O/U 139.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96ab1df5cbdddc42fd79c9c5223a2b0a84e8745ff7d927e80e45099418506dde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 53c | 3,047$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.74 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 2,481$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.18 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 1,122$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.66 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 54c | 548$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.82 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 48c | 208.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.17 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 53c | 181.09$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.41 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Over | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 54.08$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2696…c031backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 49c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 57c | 36.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 54c | 32.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Under | 46c | 32.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 51c | 25.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats: O/U 139.5this page
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Abilene Christian WildcatsCalifornia Baptist Lancers won
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats: O/U 140.5Under won
- Spread: Abilene Christian Wildcats (-2.5)California Baptist Lancers won
- Spread: California Baptist Lancers (-1.5)California Baptist Lancers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.