Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
California Baptist Lancers vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats: O/U 140.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x092020807ae45ea2056ec7788a8fbb75d90c849c355f9f10dc9649eee9625c6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $405,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $405,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $405,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 53c | 390,220$206,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183,497.96 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 47c | 227,521$106,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106,934.65 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 47c | 97,483$45,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,817.12 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Over | 47c | 30,000$14,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,100 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 47c | 7,500$3,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,525 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 51c | 3,984$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.29 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 52c | 3,343$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.27 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 49c | 3,033$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2148…0599backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Over | 22c | 1,951$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.63 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 47c | 1,112$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.61 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 47c | 714.97$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.04 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…ced1backed Over | 2c | 707.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 658.46$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.49 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Over | 49c | 479.59$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 48c | 398.16$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.12 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Over | 50c | 320$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Over | 50c | 220$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Over | 50c | 213.86$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.93 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Over | 50c | 213.86$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.93 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…8ff5backed Over | 48c | 132.92$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 50c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c3…be5abacked Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Over | 50c | 112.9$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Over | 49c | 112.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…bc84backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ed…e29fbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9a…989abacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 93.88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Over | 50c | 86.03$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…f0ccbacked Over | 49c | 70.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcecc…affebacked Over | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Over | 50c | 42.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…846cbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed Over | 50c | 35.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 48c | 27.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Over | 48c | 25.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c44…752ebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd5…c59bbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 52c | 19.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats: O/U 140.5this page
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Abilene Christian WildcatsCalifornia Baptist Lancers won
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats: O/U 139.5Under won
- Spread: Abilene Christian Wildcats (-2.5)California Baptist Lancers won
- Spread: California Baptist Lancers (-1.5)California Baptist Lancers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.