South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-11-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17d975a4e99b4294bfd4099e1af9c87e49d8d8dfc70fe13df58ca708ff6bbc0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,519
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,519 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 75c | 2,232$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.52 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 26c | 2,218$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.58 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 26c | 1,515$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.6 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 77c | 1,087$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.21 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 23c | 982$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.86 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 25c | 961$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.39 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 5c | 782$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 74c | 747.42$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.33 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 74c | 402.48$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.64 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed Yes | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 74c | 360$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.95 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 25c | 341.46$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.84 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 21c | 334.92$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 27c | 304.37$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.52 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216a…9380backed Yes | 75c | 300.76$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8450…b5a9backed Yes | 74c | 231.86$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 77c | 217$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.52 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…b6bbbacked Yes | 75c | 202.96$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.57 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…4bf9backed Yes | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 76c | 184.21$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 74c | 160$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 25c | 149.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 74c | 113.1$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 78c | 106$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 26c | 100.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 26c | 98.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdea9…be41backed Yes | 75c | 94.25$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes | 69c | 88$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +43%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…b043backed Yes | 74c | 75.29$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 30c | 71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Yes | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a5…9b49backed Yes | 74c | 67.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67eb…2335backed Yes | 74c | 66.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 318 | 27%86 W · 232 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 75c | 53.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed No | 27c | 46.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Yes | 65c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…8150backed Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…7623backed Yes | 75c | 43.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 27c | 40.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4341…2421backed Yes | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…27ddbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e96…b214backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ab…44dfbacked Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd363…e6d1backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5c…fe6abacked Yes | 74c | 24.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…327abacked Yes | 75c | 24.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd6…ac29backed Yes | 76c | 20.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef7…ae5cbacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b97…2960backed Yes | 76c | 19.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…e85dbacked Yes | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x365e…4f29backed Yes | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc284…912abacked Yes | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-11-22?this page
- Will CR Flamengo vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?No won
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-11-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.