UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Dalby vs. Izagakhmaev (Welterweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe05a5c5864de0c26508e0953c59888fae8c2f4ebffc4511ac06d63af1878f879
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dalbyof Dalby, Izagakhmaev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Dalby | 25c | 42,284$10,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,713.12 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Dalby | 26c | 29,843$7,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,060.98 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Izagakhmaev | 74c | 28,000$20,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,719.99 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…6584backed Izagakhmaev | 75c | 17,199$12,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,899.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Izagakhmaev | 74c | 13,420$9,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,930.67 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Dalby | 25c | 10,376$2,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,781.67 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Dalby | 26c | 9,268$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,858.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Izagakhmaev | 75c | 6,735$5,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,050.99 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…b287backed Izagakhmaev | 1c | 6,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0223…f22ebacked Izagakhmaev | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Dalby | 24c | 4,777$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,612.19 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Izagakhmaev | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Dalby | 26c | 3,231$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,390.77 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Dalby | 19c | 3,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked Izagakhmaev | 75c | 2,595$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Dalby | 26c | 2,550$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.99 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a3…911ebacked Izagakhmaev | 75c | 2,206$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.24 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Izagakhmaev | 65c | 2,170$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.66 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Izagakhmaev | 79c | 2,151$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.51 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Izagakhmaev | 65c | 2,022$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.08 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…7630backed Dalby | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.95 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Dalby | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.08 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1986…cf16backed Izagakhmaev | 75c | 1,767$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 56cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30b8…f41fbacked Izagakhmaev | 74c | 1,684$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.37 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Izagakhmaev | 75c | 1,414$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.24 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…6598backed Izagakhmaev | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…cd16backed Izagakhmaev | 75c | 1,325$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Izagakhmaev | 74c | 1,262$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.66 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Dalby | 25c | 1,205$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.93 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Izagakhmaev | 75c | 1,104$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.66 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Izagakhmaev | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d5…10a6backed Izagakhmaev | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Izagakhmaev | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Dalby | 25c | 999.97$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.97 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked Dalby | 26c | 961.54$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +67%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed Dalby | 25c | 936.54$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.04 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…b5ccbacked Izagakhmaev | 78c | 886.17$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Izagakhmaev | 74c | 885$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.9 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed46…1badbacked Izagakhmaev | 75c | 842.16$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…276cbacked Dalby | 60c | 834.74$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…3b80backed Dalby | 24c | 829.9$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.73 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Dalby | 25c | 799.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.95 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb44…e977backed Izagakhmaev | 74c | 775$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3871…2a0cbacked Dalby | 26c | 754.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 35cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Izagakhmaev | 73c | 751.26$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.42 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Dalby | 26c | 734$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.5 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…084ebacked Izagakhmaev | 75c | 732.12$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.09 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Izagakhmaev | 74c | 699.99$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.99 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Izagakhmaev | 30c | 673.71$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.22 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf89…90ddbacked Izagakhmaev | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…5240backed Izagakhmaev | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Izagakhmaev | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d31…cea8backed Izagakhmaev | 75c | 664.84$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Izagakhmaev | 75c | 600$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Izagakhmaev | 75c | 600$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Izagakhmaev | 67c | 600$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Izagakhmaev | 74c | 592$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.08 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d32…563abacked Izagakhmaev | 76c | 528.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a1…88f3backed Dalby | 25c | 500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Dalby | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…64c3backed Izagakhmaev | 76c | 500$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Izagakhmaev | 74c | 499.97$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.98 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef8f…e83bbacked Dalby | 22c | 450.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…fc69backed Dalby | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Izagakhmaev | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…1494backed Dalby | 25c | 399.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4dd…3046backed Dalby | 26c | 384.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.59 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…d802backed Izagakhmaev | 62c | 383.44$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88e…ef1bbacked Dalby | 27c | 361.8$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Izagakhmaev | 75c | 333.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…f116backed Dalby | 26c | 320$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.8 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed Dalby | 26c | 303.15$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38eb…a211backed Dalby | 27c | 282.41$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.16 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3da…f328backed Izagakhmaev | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Izagakhmaev | 75c | 260.88$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.69 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8efc…478fbacked Izagakhmaev | 74c | 255.13$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…8cb6backed Izagakhmaev | 75c | 250$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Dalby | 42c | 237.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.04 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Dalby | 21c | 220$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.8 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9083…d27bbacked Dalby | 24c | 211.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.31 | 151 | 39.7%60 W · 91 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Dalby | 26c | 209$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.66 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Dalby | 23c | 205.66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.09 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Dalby | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Dalby | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 264 | 51.9%137 W · 127 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Izagakhmaev | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c54…82babacked Izagakhmaev | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ed…3363backed Izagakhmaev | 76c | 196$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Dalby | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb937…f2c5backed Dalby | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…174ebacked Dalby | 35c | 177.92$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.31 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c73…44f4backed Izagakhmaev | 75c | 173.33$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9945…1ef5backed Dalby | 33c | 166.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.67 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Izagakhmaev | 75c | 160$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc35…d905backed Izagakhmaev | 75c | 158.81$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.11 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Izagakhmaev | 80c | 157.4$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.85 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5364…a014backed Dalby | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Dalby | 25c | 150$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Izagakhmaev | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…3c98backed Izagakhmaev | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…ee46backed Izagakhmaev | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Dalby vs. Izagakhmaev (Welterweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Saygid Izagakhmaev win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.