Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Incarnate Word Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7d491f03fa61d272871b941c254fefb790a15ef062175d7b61a2f7a64948525
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- East Texas A&M Lionsof East Texas A&M Lions, Incarnate Word Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals | 78c | 560$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.8 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed East Texas A&M Lions | 62c | 531.17$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.21 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…8be3backed East Texas A&M Lions | 24c | 416$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.16 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 36c | 413.45$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.79 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed East Texas A&M Lions | 24c | 350$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked East Texas A&M Lions | 32c | 264.69$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.22 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals | 45c | 257.46$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.75 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals | 8c | 252$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed East Texas A&M Lions | 28c | 243.14$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.1 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 34c | 240.18$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.39 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Incarnate Word Cardinals | 74c | 232$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.52 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 51c | 208.59$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.75 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals | 73c | 153.41$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.64 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 73c | 153.15$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals | 72c | 149.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked East Texas A&M Lions | 32c | 145.57$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.02 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked East Texas A&M Lions | 66c | 139.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals | 74c | 135.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed East Texas A&M Lions | 67c | 121.62$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked East Texas A&M Lions | 24c | 109$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.84 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b86…3010backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 75c | 106.41$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.81 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…2f7bbacked East Texas A&M Lions | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals | 67c | 99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.33 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa1…df77backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 37c | 66.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed East Texas A&M Lions | 23c | 63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed East Texas A&M Lions | 22c | 60.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked East Texas A&M Lions | 22c | 60$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Incarnate Word Cardinals | 73c | 59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked East Texas A&M Lions | 38c | 58.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals | 54c | 57.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 32c | 53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 60c | 49.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd363…e6d1backed East Texas A&M Lions | 67c | 44.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed East Texas A&M Lions | 52c | 44.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e40…224ebacked East Texas A&M Lions | 70c | 43.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99e2…cab8backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed East Texas A&M Lions | 52c | 28.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals | 72c | 27.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed East Texas A&M Lions | 44c | 25.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Incarnate Word Cardinals | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 72c | 20.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…9e41backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals | 74c | 18.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad68…b97cbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals | 74c | 16.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 75cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- East Texas A&M Lions vs. Incarnate Word Cardinalsthis page
- East Texas A&M Lions vs. Incarnate Word Cardinals: O/U 141.5Under won
- East Texas A&M Lions vs. Incarnate Word Cardinals: O/U 142.5Under won
- East Texas A&M Lions vs. Incarnate Word Cardinals: O/U 143.5Under won
- Spread: Incarnate Word Cardinals (-8.5)East Texas A&M Lions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.