Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Incarnate Word Cardinals: O/U 141.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9dbd9962def03e0cac18e2b03836a1686fa843e206e8612b26bfcf2d27297504
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $576,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $577,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $576,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 57c | 518,962$293,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293,691.53 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 43c | 200,000$86,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114,000 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 42c | 150,000$63,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,500 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 45c | 63,546$28,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,021.14 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 47c | 54,023$25,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,792.53 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 54c | 25,404$13,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,717.92 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Under | 43c | 22,150$9,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,723.95 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 21,626$9,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,092.83 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 44c | 17,000$7,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,580 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 47c | 12,222$5,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,510.99 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 56c | 11,507$6,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,397.96 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Under | 45c | 7,500$3,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,125 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 6,351$2,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,508.72 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 45c | 6,125$2,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,339.77 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 54c | 4,454$2,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,404.98 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 44c | 3,013$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.82 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Over | 57c | 2,091$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.56 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 45c | 1,338$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.33 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…8733backed Under | 50c | 999$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.7 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca0f…780bbacked Under | 45c | 516.22$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.92 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 45c | 504$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.2 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 49c | 500$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.67 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 45c | 355.85$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.97 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 48c | 334.51$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.51 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…735cbacked Over | 57c | 304.76$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.31 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 45c | 174.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.49 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…340fbacked Over | 57c | 151.6$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…7657backed Over | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 47c | 108.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0f9bbacked Over | 57c | 102.97$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Under | 44c | 81.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 47c | 77.08$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2694…415abacked Over | 55c | 76.49$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…b14cbacked Under | 44c | 61.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 45c | 60.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03b0…482cbacked Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Under | 45c | 57.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Under | 46c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3c…0696backed Under | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Over | 54c | 39.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf8…11b2backed Over | 56c | 37.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Under | 39c | 34.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 43c | 26.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x455b…2d47backed Over | 56c | 25.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked Over | 54c | 25.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- East Texas A&M Lions vs. Incarnate Word Cardinals: O/U 141.5this page
- East Texas A&M Lions vs. Incarnate Word CardinalsEast Texas A&M Lions won
- East Texas A&M Lions vs. Incarnate Word Cardinals: O/U 142.5Under won
- East Texas A&M Lions vs. Incarnate Word Cardinals: O/U 143.5Under won
- Spread: Incarnate Word Cardinals (-8.5)East Texas A&M Lions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.