Tennis · resolved market
Hobart International, Qualification: Suzan Lamens vs Ella Seidel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x417ce8d955da35f0a167020f8bb6a41469b926bbefaad923bea8f1d9fc19ff18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seidelof Lamens, Seidel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Seidel | 69c | 2,120$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.29 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lamens | 23c | 1,646$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.02 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seidel | 72c | 936.65$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.5 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Lamens | 2c | 635.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Lamens | 33c | 453.28$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.61 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Lamens | 23c | 342.39$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.59 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lamens | 44c | 339.07$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Lamens | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Seidel | 57c | 311.78$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.5 | 160 | 59.4%95 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lamens | 46c | 281.07$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.83 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Lamens | 46c | 239.85$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.42 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebf…3885backed Seidel | 51c | 173.16$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.16 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Seidel | 60c | 166.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.54 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +5.4wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…dd5ebacked Seidel | 28c | 165.81$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.38 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lamens | 52c | 159.04$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.1 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…d46ebacked Seidel | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Seidel | 47c | 94$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Seidel | 35c | 81.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.23 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Lamens | 39c | 67.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…86f6backed Lamens | 63c | 50.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Seidel | 48c | 49.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Lamens | 26c | 45.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…3e71backed Seidel | 48c | 43.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19c6…42a6backed Lamens | 40c | 42.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Seidel | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Lamens | 56c | 38.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Seidel | 60c | 33.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4883…98abbacked Seidel | 79c | 31.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Seidel | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 219 | 49.3%108 W · 111 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c8…b387backed Lamens | 40c | 26.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x669e…035bbacked Seidel | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 101 | 86.1%87 W · 14 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…639ebacked Seidel | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 76cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Seidel | 78c | 23.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c60…d06cbacked Seidel | 57c | 19.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.